Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighsashasasha5VirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)70% (3052–1278, n=4330)47% (728–821, n=1549)49% (21–22, n=43)90% (19–2, n=21)
Consensus PnL$539K$718K$15K$531K
Tracked asPM monthly #7PM monthly #14PM monthly #935PM monthly #67
Sides with the consensus53% (97 of 182 open)58% (49 of 85 open)0% (0 of 1 open)60% (3 of 5 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +51 pts n=15, ROI +40%
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=653———
Settled positions, side won41% of 1384 at avg 42¢, ROI −2%100% of 469 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%100% of 29 at avg 59¢, ROI +43%100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢41% (won 5% of 566)5% (won 100% of 23)7% (won 100% of 2)13% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 38% of 335)34% (won 100% of 161)34% (won 100% of 10)40% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 62% of 157)52% (won 100% of 243)28% (won 100% of 8)33% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 94% of 326)9% (won 100% of 42)31% (won 100% of 9)13% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighsashasasha5VirIntrepidus
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $584Seahawks $52K—Seahawks $46K
Spurs vs. Jazz
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
Jazz $177Spurs $43K——
Lakers vs. Suns
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
Suns $101Lakers $12K——
Spread: Hornets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Hornets $90Clippers $10K——
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Raptors $548Knicks $8.7K——
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
Spurs $13Jazz $9.2K——
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
Rockets $137Wizards $8.4K——
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.9KOver $6.1K——
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
Suns $1Lakers $6.9K——
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Celtics $5.2KMavericks $1.0K——
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Spurs $405Jazz $5.4K——
Drummondville: Vignesh Gogineni vs Volodymyr Gurenko
opposite sides · consensus Vignesh Gogineni
Volodymyr Gurenko $134Vignesh Gogineni $5.6K——
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $368Over $3.8K——
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Bucks $163Hawks $2.0K——
Universo Treviso Basket vs. Scafati Basket
opposite sides · consensus Universo Treviso Basket
Universo Treviso Basket $1.1KScafati Basket $20——
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $410Under $506——
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $10Under $857——
Spread: Lakers (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Suns $495Lakers $137——
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 201.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $14Under $399——
Spread: Hornets (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Clippers $125Hornets $97——
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 199.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $9Under $2——
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 216.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2Under $1——
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Suns
Suns $69Suns $3.3K——
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $161Under $2.4K——
Baylor Bears vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 159.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $23Under $1.3K——
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
same side · consensus Team Spirit
Team Spirit $3Team Spirit $1.2K——
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 207.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $878Under $7——
Baylor Bears vs. Texas Longhorns
same side · consensus Texas Longhorns
Baylor Bears $439Baylor Bears $384——
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $796Under $6——
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 205.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $481Under $13——
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $404Under $13——
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Suns $235Suns $9——
49ers vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus 49ers
Cowboys $11——Cowboys $204
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 203.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $55Under $69——
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 215.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2Under $56——