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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorphenryttokndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)33% (1–2, n=3)63% (1014–591, n=1605)47% (14701–16266, n=30967)
Consensus PnL$3.7M-$8.0K$4.8M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #10was PM monthly #986PM monthly #91PM monthly #36 + pinned
Sides with the consensus76% (252 of 330 open)100% (1 of 1 open)72% (68 of 94 open)52% (102 of 197 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15—NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%50% of 2 at avg 69¢, ROI −39%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)0%13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)50% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)0%23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)50% (won 100% of 1)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

48 on the same side, 42 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorphenryttokndb1RN1
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $109K—Under $6.4KOver $4.7K
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.2K—Under $34KUnder $2.6K
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $27K——Over $1.5K
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $24K——Yes $1.2K
Kentucky vs. Tennessee
opposite sides · consensus Tennessee
Kentucky $46——Tennessee $23K
Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame
opposite sides · consensus Notre Dame
Miami (FL) $416——Notre Dame $22K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.7K
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $6.2K——Over $3.2K
Will Sporting CP vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $8.1K——Yes $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $5.4K——Under $305
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $5.2K——Under $19
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
Cavaliers $5.0K——Knicks $105
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 1 - 1 Hull City AFC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.6K——Yes $362
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613——Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Newcastle United FC
Newcastle United FC $2.5K——Fulham FC $48
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: Arsenal FC O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $963——Over $1.2K
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $368——Under $1.7K
Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $67——Over $1.8K
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $57——Yes $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475——Under $1.3K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Jan Simonsson
opposite sides · consensus Adrian Mannarino
Adrian Mannarino $1.8K——Jan Simonsson $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $471——No $524
Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 3 - 2 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $245——Yes $715
Exact Score: 1. FSV Mainz 05 1 - 3 FC Bayern München?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2——No $910
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Fulham FC
Fulham FC $776——Newcastle United FC $2
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
Cavaliers $678——Knicks $30
Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 1 - 2 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $55——Yes $547
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 0 - 0 Hull City AFC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $31——No $506
Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $184——Under $264
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $15——Under $282
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272——No $11
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 0 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $151——Yes $38
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $83——Under $88
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3——No $140
Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $136——Under $6
Wrexham AFC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $115——Under $11
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Hawks $45——Nets $33
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 1 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $19——Yes $50
1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7——Over $8
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $190K——Yes $27K
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $90K——Yes $27K
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Hull City AFC
Hull City AFC $50K——Hull City AFC $816
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
No $45K——No $4.4K
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $29K——Under $11K
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz
same side · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz $23K——Carlos Alcaraz $9.8K
Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $24K——No $6.1K
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $25K——Yes $3.7K