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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ETHhedgekeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Record (consensus markets)no settled market48% (512–551, n=1063)55% (393–322, n=715)58% (11–8, n=19)
Consensus PnL—$545K$426K$386K
Tracked asPM monthly #879PM monthly #18PM monthly #107was PM monthly #70
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position69% (91 of 131 open)54% (85 of 156 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 341 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%71% of 604 at avg 54¢, ROI +7%92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 100% of 19)13% (won 40% of 81)8% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—37% (won 100% of 126)24% (won 62% of 144)58% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢—50% (won 100% of 171)43% (won 74% of 261)33% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up—7% (won 100% of 25)20% (won 98% of 118)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketETHhedgekeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes
—Hurricanes $33KKraken $6.2K—
Spread: Alabama (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt
—Vanderbilt $26KAlabama $4.2K—
Tennessee vs. Texas A&M
opposite sides · consensus Tennessee
—Tennessee $25KTexas A&M $1.1K—
Syracuse vs. NC State: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $24KOver $339—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $11KUnder $1.8K—
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL)
—Miami (FL) $10KDuke $337—
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.3KUnder $4.7K—
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
—Virginia Tech $4.7KStanford $51—
Alabama vs. Vanderbilt
opposite sides · consensus Alabama
—Alabama $3.8KVanderbilt $857—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Pistons $1.3KHeat $3.2K—
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
—Avalanche $2.5KCanadiens $701—
Spread: Miami (FL) (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL)
—Miami (FL) $2.5KDuke $439—
Georgia Tech vs. Clemson: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.7KOver $246—
Will Hungary win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $634Yes $626—
Spread: SMU (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus SMU
—SMU $871Wake Forest $14—
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $283Over $11—
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Nets $10KNets $16K—
Spread: Ohio State (-13.5)
same side · consensus Northwestern
—Northwestern $15KNorthwestern $2.2K—
Spread: Clemson (-15.5)
same side · consensus Georgia Tech
—Georgia Tech $16KGeorgia Tech $140—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $15KOver $536—
UAB vs. Temple
same side · consensus Temple
—Temple $15KTemple $202—
Spread: Ohio State (-14.5)
same side · consensus Ohio State
—Northwestern $14KNorthwestern $946—
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
same side · consensus Indiana
—USC $14KUSC $2—
Spread: Kennesaw State (-7.5)
same side · consensus Kennesaw State
—Kennesaw State $12KKennesaw State $1.3K—
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
same side · consensus Virginia Tech
—Virginia Tech $6.4KVirginia Tech $2.8K—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $5.5KOver $688—
Panthers vs. Blues
same side · consensus Blues
—Blues $4.5KBlues $290—
Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $298Under $2.5K—
Spread: Wisconsin (-6.5)
same side · consensus Wisconsin
—Wisconsin $1.4KWisconsin $239—
Duke vs. Miami (FL): O/U 53.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.2KOver $19—
Sweden vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $733Over $12—
Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 57.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $576Under $25—
Cincinnati vs. Iowa State
same side · consensus Iowa State
—Cincinnati $361Cincinnati $228—