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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| ETHhedge | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 48% (512–551, n=1063) | 55% (393–322, n=715) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $545K | $426K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #879 | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #107 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 72% (82 of 114 open) | 52% (80 of 154 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 341 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% | 71% of 604 at avg 54¢, ROI +7% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 6% (won 100% of 19) | 13% (won 40% of 81) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 37% (won 100% of 126) | 24% (won 62% of 144) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 50% (won 100% of 171) | 43% (won 74% of 261) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 7% (won 100% of 25) | 20% (won 98% of 118) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
15 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ETHhedge | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kraken vs. Hurricanes opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes | — | Hurricanes $33K | Kraken $5.7K |
| Spread: Alabama (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt | — | Vanderbilt $26K | Alabama $4.2K |
| Tennessee vs. Texas A&M opposite sides · consensus Tennessee | — | Tennessee $25K | Texas A&M $1.1K |
| Syracuse vs. NC State: O/U 53.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $24K | Over $468 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $11K | Under $1.8K |
| Duke vs. Miami (FL) opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL) | — | Miami (FL) $10K | Duke $378 |
| Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.3K | Under $4.7K |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | Virginia Tech $4.7K | Stanford $51 |
| Alabama vs. Vanderbilt opposite sides · consensus Alabama | — | Alabama $3.6K | Vanderbilt $916 |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Pistons $1.3K | Heat $3.2K |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens opposite sides · consensus Canadiens | — | Avalanche $2.5K | Canadiens $701 |
| Spread: Miami (FL) (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL) | — | Miami (FL) $2.5K | Duke $439 |
| Georgia Tech vs. Clemson: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.6K | Over $257 |
| Will Hungary win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $497 | Yes $690 |
| Spread: SMU (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus SMU | — | SMU $871 | Wake Forest $14 |
| Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $283 | Over $11 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) same side · consensus Nets | — | Nets $10K | Nets $16K |
| Spread: Ohio State (-13.5) same side · consensus Northwestern | — | Northwestern $15K | Northwestern $2.2K |
| Spread: Clemson (-15.5) same side · consensus Georgia Tech | — | Georgia Tech $16K | Georgia Tech $158 |
| Spread: Ohio State (-14.5) same side · consensus Ohio State | — | Northwestern $15K | Northwestern $1.0K |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $15K | Over $536 |
| UAB vs. Temple same side · consensus Temple | — | Temple $15K | Temple $187 |
| Spread: Indiana (-8.5) same side · consensus Indiana | — | USC $14K | USC $2 |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech same side · consensus Virginia Tech | — | Virginia Tech $6.4K | Virginia Tech $2.8K |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $5.4K | Over $522 |
| Panthers vs. Blues same side · consensus Blues | — | Blues $4.5K | Blues $290 |
| Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $298 | Under $2.5K |
| Duke vs. Miami (FL): O/U 53.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $1.2K | Over $19 |
| Sweden vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $733 | Over $12 |
| Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 57.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $576 | Under $25 |
| Cincinnati vs. Iowa State same side · consensus Iowa State | — | Cincinnati $343 | Cincinnati $170 |