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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ETHhedge | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | MD14 | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 48% (512–551, n=1063) | 85% (22–4, n=26) | 55% (393–322, n=715) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $545K | $318K | $426K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #879 | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #121 | PM monthly #107 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 68% (88 of 129 open) | no open consensus position | 54% (85 of 156 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 341 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% | 91% of 23 at avg 70¢, ROI +22% | 71% of 604 at avg 54¢, ROI +7% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 6% (won 100% of 19) | 4% (won 0% of 1) | 13% (won 40% of 81) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 37% (won 100% of 126) | 13% (won 100% of 3) | 24% (won 62% of 144) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 50% (won 100% of 171) | 22% (won 80% of 5) | 43% (won 74% of 261) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 7% (won 100% of 25) | 61% (won 100% of 14) | 20% (won 98% of 118) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
17 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ETHhedge | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | MD14 | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kraken vs. Hurricanes opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes | — | Hurricanes $33K | — | Kraken $6.2K |
| Spread: Alabama (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt | — | Vanderbilt $26K | — | Alabama $4.2K |
| Tennessee vs. Texas A&M opposite sides · consensus Tennessee | — | Tennessee $25K | — | Texas A&M $1.1K |
| Syracuse vs. NC State: O/U 53.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $24K | — | Over $339 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $11K | — | Under $1.8K |
| Duke vs. Miami (FL) opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL) | — | Miami (FL) $10K | — | Duke $337 |
| Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.3K | — | Under $4.7K |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | Virginia Tech $4.7K | — | Stanford $51 |
| Alabama vs. Vanderbilt opposite sides · consensus Alabama | — | Alabama $3.8K | — | Vanderbilt $857 |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Pistons $1.3K | — | Heat $3.2K |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens opposite sides · consensus Canadiens | — | Avalanche $2.5K | — | Canadiens $701 |
| Spread: Miami (FL) (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL) | — | Miami (FL) $2.5K | — | Duke $439 |
| Georgia Tech vs. Clemson: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.7K | — | Over $246 |
| Will Hungary win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $634 | — | Yes $626 |
| Spread: SMU (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus SMU | — | SMU $871 | — | Wake Forest $14 |
| Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $283 | — | Over $11 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) same side · consensus Nets | — | Nets $10K | — | Nets $16K |
| Spread: Ohio State (-13.5) same side · consensus Northwestern | — | Northwestern $15K | — | Northwestern $2.2K |
| Spread: Clemson (-15.5) same side · consensus Georgia Tech | — | Georgia Tech $16K | — | Georgia Tech $140 |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $15K | — | Over $536 |
| UAB vs. Temple same side · consensus Temple | — | Temple $15K | — | Temple $202 |
| Spread: Ohio State (-14.5) same side · consensus Ohio State | — | Northwestern $14K | — | Northwestern $946 |
| Spread: Indiana (-8.5) same side · consensus Indiana | — | USC $14K | — | USC $2 |
| Spread: Kennesaw State (-7.5) same side · consensus Kennesaw State | — | Kennesaw State $12K | — | Kennesaw State $1.3K |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech same side · consensus Virginia Tech | — | Virginia Tech $6.4K | — | Virginia Tech $2.8K |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $5.5K | — | Over $688 |
| Panthers vs. Blues same side · consensus Blues | — | Blues $4.5K | — | Blues $290 |
| Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $298 | — | Under $2.5K |
| Duke vs. Miami (FL): O/U 53.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $1.2K | — | Over $19 |
| Spread: Wisconsin (-6.5) same side · consensus Wisconsin | — | Wisconsin $834 | — | Wisconsin $239 |
| Sweden vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $733 | — | Over $12 |
| Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 57.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $576 | — | Under $25 |
| Cincinnati vs. Iowa State same side · consensus Iowa State | — | Cincinnati $361 | — | Cincinnati $228 |