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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankbrobrobrobrobroFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)84% (52–10, n=62)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$7.7M-$54K$4.1M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #899PM monthly #9PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus77% (46 of 60 open)no open consensus position73% (133 of 182 open)55% (80 of 146 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%97% of 29 at avg 72¢, ROI −4%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)7% (won 50% of 2)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)7% (won 100% of 2)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)28% (won 100% of 8)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)59% (won 100% of 17)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

43 on the same side, 28 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankbrobrobrobrobroFlaznorpRN1
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $133K—76ers $81676ers $371
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $339K—No $113KNo $51K
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $115K——No $2.9K
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $101K——Cowboys $4.8K
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $67K——Eagles $57
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.7K
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
——Commanders $320Rams $14K
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $11K——Eagles $475
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $9.7KUnder $1.0K
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $11KUnder $31
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $8.3KYes $614
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens
——Racing Club de Lens $7.2KOlympique de Marseille $1
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Barcelona
——FC Barcelona $6.4KClub Atlético de Madrid $3
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.5KYes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $859Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $446Under $1.4K
Brown Bears vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Lehigh Mountain Hawks
——Brown Bears $403Lehigh Mountain Hawks $1.4K
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $1.3KUnder $359
FC Utrecht vs. NEC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $1.3KNo $2
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $873Yes $315
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $471No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $837Yes $60
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $299——76ers $155
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $350Over $7
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $334Under $7
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 149.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $200Under $46
Knoxville: Mitchell Krueger vs Samir Banerjee
opposite sides · consensus Mitchell Krueger
——Mitchell Krueger $70Samir Banerjee $3
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $208K——Under $4.4K
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Giants $68K——Giants $8.0K
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $49K—Colts $63—
Broncos vs. Panthers
same side · consensus Broncos
——Broncos $1.2KBroncos $43K
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $22KNo $18K
Spread: Chiefs (-9.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $21K——Chiefs $11K
Spread: Chiefs (-8.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $18K——Chiefs $1.6K
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
——Chiefs $5.4KChiefs $13K
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
——Club Atlético de Madrid $14KClub Atlético de Madrid $3.6K
Will NEC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $13KNo $4.5K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5)
same side · consensus CF Universidad de Chile
——CD Cobresal $13KCD Cobresal $3.5K
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
Bulls $16K—Bulls $215—
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $6.6KNo $1.7K
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $7.8KNo $5
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.6KNo $5.8K
Spread: Saints (-5.5)
same side · consensus Browns
Browns $6.3K——Browns $289
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $4.0KYes $2.5K
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $3.2KOver $847
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 2 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
——No $214No $3.2K
Will KKS Lech Poznan win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.6KNo $240