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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Bignum | Flaznorp | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | VirIntrepidus | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 33% (9–18, n=27) | 71% (2825–1180, n=4005) | 47% (671–742, n=1413) | 88% (15–2, n=17) |
| Consensus PnL | -$4.6K | $529K | $890K | $475K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #953 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #57 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 58% (153 of 266 open) | 63% (46 of 73 open) | 44% (4 of 9 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | College Basketball −4 pts, n=204 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 67% of 15 at avg 34¢, ROI +15% | 41% of 1316 at avg 43¢, ROI −3% | 100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45% | 100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 40% (won 50% of 6) | 40% (won 6% of 531) | 5% (won 100% of 23) | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 40% (won 67% of 6) | 24% (won 38% of 315) | 34% (won 100% of 159) | 40% (won 100% of 6) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 100% of 2) | 11% (won 61% of 150) | 52% (won 100% of 243) | 33% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 24% (won 94% of 320) | 9% (won 100% of 42) | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
19 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Bignum | Flaznorp | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | VirIntrepidus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikings vs. Packers opposite sides · consensus Packers | — | Vikings $303 | Packers $15K | Vikings $6.5K |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | — | Falcons $165 | Falcons $15K | Chiefs $6.3K |
| Patriots vs. Lions opposite sides · consensus Lions | — | — | Patriots $30K | Lions $17K |
| Cyprus vs. Montenegro: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $2.8K | Over $16K | — |
| Latvia vs. Armenia: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $3.8K | Over $1.5K | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Spurs $182 | Jazz $4.9K | — |
| Spread: Lions (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Patriots | — | — | Patriots $413 | Lions $4.0K |
| Will Granada CF win on 2026-11-15? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $3.0K | No $19 | — |
| Metz: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Adrien Gobat opposite sides · consensus Adrien Gobat | — | Adrien Gobat $810 | Buvaysar Gadamauri $1.8K | — |
| France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.6K | Over $297 | — |
| Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu opposite sides · consensus Michael Vrbensky | — | Michael Vrbensky $1.8K | Vadym Ursu $74 | — |
| Will GFA Rumilly Vallières vs. AS Saint-Étienne end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $108 | No $15 | — |
| Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Nexus (BO3) - CCT Europe Group Stage opposite sides · consensus Nexus | — | FORZE Reload $4 | Nexus $19 | — |
| Latvia vs. Armenia: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $4.2K | Under $52K | — |
| Spread: Packers (-2.5) same side · consensus Packers | — | — | Vikings $14K | Vikings $8.3K |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders same side · consensus Seahawks | — | Seahawks $620 | Seahawks $19K | — |
| WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang | — | Mertens/Zhang $1.2K | Mertens/Zhang $9.3K | — |
| Will Armenia win on 2026-11-15? same side · consensus No | — | No $7.5K | No $1.1K | — |
| Spread: France (-2.5) same side · consensus Türkiye | — | France $154 | France $5.0K | — |
| Croatia vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $583 | Under $4.1K | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-7.5) same side · consensus 76ers | — | 76ers $489 | 76ers $3.2K | — |
| Helsinki: John Sperle vs Moez Echargui same side · consensus Moez Echargui | — | Moez Echargui $300 | Moez Echargui $2.6K | — |
| Will GFA Rumilly Vallières win on 2026-11-15? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $2.2K | Yes $8 | — |
| Will AS Saint-Étienne win on 2026-11-15? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.2K | No $194 | — |
| Orleans: Otto Virtanen vs Nishesh Basavareddy same side · consensus Otto Virtanen | — | Otto Virtanen $392 | Otto Virtanen $904 | — |
| Dota 2: Froglings vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs same side · consensus Froglings | — | LEGION $11 | LEGION $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-3.5) same side · consensus Suns | — | Suns $213 | Suns $793 | — |
| Belarus vs. Albania: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $20 | Under $972 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-13.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | — | Mavericks $159 | Mavericks $555 | — |
| Spread: Croatia (-1.5) same side · consensus Czechia | — | Croatia $193 | Croatia $429 | — |
| 49ers vs. Cowboys same side · consensus 49ers | — | Cowboys $15 | — | Cowboys $275 |
| Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-11-15? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $209 | Yes $42 | — |