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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AltMindFlaznorpHomeRunHazardVirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)55% (30–25, n=55)71% (2970–1233, n=4203)52% (591–550, n=1141)90% (18–2, n=20)
Consensus PnL$20K$533K$385K$530K
Tracked asPM monthly #883PM monthly #9PM monthly #10PM monthly #67
Sides with the consensus40% (2 of 5 open)47% (112 of 240 open)62% (92 of 149 open)60% (6 of 10 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +51 pts n=15, ROI +40%
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=612——
Settled positions, side won—41% of 1333 at avg 43¢, ROI −2%100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢—41% (won 6% of 540)2% (won 100% of 6)13% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢—24% (won 38% of 322)32% (won 100% of 100)40% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 62% of 152)60% (won 100% of 189)33% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—24% (won 94% of 319)7% (won 100% of 22)13% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

22 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAltMindFlaznorpHomeRunHazardVirIntrepidus
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $1549ers $25KCowboys $275
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Titans
——Jaguars $4.3KTitans $109K
Bills vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Bills
——Bills $29KJets $54K
Texans vs. Browns
opposite sides · consensus Texans
—Browns $14Texans $11K—
Spread: Bills (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
Bills $6.7K—Jets $2.1K—
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $87—Chiefs $7.8K
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Mavericks $147Celtics $4.5K—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $28Under $4.4K—
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $628Over $3.2K—
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $45Over $1.9K—
Temple Owls vs. La Salle Explorers
opposite sides · consensus La Salle Explorers
—Temple Owls $69La Salle Explorers $745—
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Bucks $163Hawks $532—
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $323Under $146—
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Spurs $183Jazz $70—
Temple Owls vs. La Salle Explorers: O/U 153.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2Under $40—
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-29.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wisconsin Badgers
—Wisconsin Badgers $4Coastal Carolina Chanticleers $9—
Pacers vs. 76ers
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $5.8K76ers $36K—
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Packers
——Vikings $12KVikings $12K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $620Seahawks $20K—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
—Vikings $397—Vikings $8.5K
Spread: 49ers (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
——Cowboys $2.3KCowboys $5.8K
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—Pacers $245Pacers $5.3K—
Spread: Spurs (-18.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Spurs $4Spurs $5.4K—
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $125Suns $3.8K—
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
—Rockets $356Rockets $2.4K—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $53Colts $2.4K—
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
same side · consensus Knicks
—Raptors $90Raptors $2.3K—
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Spurs $374Spurs $1.9K—
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $50Under $1.9K—
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-8.5)
same side · consensus Louisville Cardinals
—Louisville Cardinals $442Louisville Cardinals $140—
Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-3.5)
same side · consensus Iowa Hawkeyes
—Creighton Bluejays $172Creighton Bluejays $314—
Boise State Broncos vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 158.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $197Over $235—
Boise State Broncos vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers
same side · consensus Nebraska Cornhuskers
—Nebraska Cornhuskers $19Nebraska Cornhuskers $174—
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $73Under $56—
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
—76ers $10076ers $16—
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $46Under $54—
Mercyhurst Lakers vs. James Madison Dukes
same side · consensus James Madison Dukes
—Mercyhurst Lakers $42Mercyhurst Lakers $56—
Spread: Celtics (-15.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $10Celtics $82—