Boise State Broncos vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers

6 of 11 top Polymarket traders hold Nebraska Cornhuskers (55%) · Nebraska Cornhuskers at 100¢ · $1K held · ended Nov 15

Boise State Broncos<1¢Nebraska Cornhuskers>99¢Ended Sun, Nov 15, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚠️

Avoid

Nebraska Cornhuskers

Consensus Traders

Nebraska Cornhuskers 55%

Total Value

$1.3K

Combined PnL

-$35.15

Smart Money Entry

88.7¢ → 100¢

+13% since entry · 6 traders

Research grade

AvoidNebraska Cornhuskers at 100%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Nebraska Cornhuskers

6 of 11 top traders (55%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Boise State Broncos0%

Nebraska Cornhuskers100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Nebraska Cornhuskers6 traders

Total Value$1.3K

Total Shares1,365

Combined PnL+$44.26

Boise State Broncos5 traders

Total Value$13.9

Total Shares1,078

Combined PnL-$79.42

Nebraska Cornhuskers — 55%Boise State Broncos — 45%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

6 traders

Top 2 hold 74%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

67% of non-arb traders are on Nebraska Cornhuskers. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 74% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

ctrBoise State Broncos 100% · 3

Diverging

Hand-pickedNebraska Cornhuskers 100% · 1

Aligned

Top 1000Nebraska Cornhuskers 67% · 9

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
RN1	Nebraska Cornhuskersavg 91.3¢	$696.21	$701.2	+$5	54% 6042-5119 (11161)
38 38791873984189	Nebraska Cornhuskersavg 86.9¢	$210.22	$222.64	+$12.42	48% 3997-4384 (8381)
HO HomeRunHazard	Nebraska Cornhuskersavg 79¢	$149.07	$173.59	+$24.53	56% 3922-3103 (7025)
TH thirdt1me<$100	Nebraska Cornhuskersavg 91¢	$91	$92	+$1	47% 376-418 (794)
PA Pan9X<$100	Nebraska Cornhuskersavg 91¢	$48.47	$48.38	-$0.09	50% 2197-2203 (4400)
FL Flaznorp<$100	Nebraska Cornhuskersavg 85¢	$17.43	$18.83	+$1.4	49% 4712-4983 (9695)
LI LimousinCTR<$100	Boise State Broncosavg 8.6¢	$50.74	$10.95	-$39.79	38% 1353-2203 (3556)
VE VenusianCTR<$100	Boise State Broncosavg 9¢	$41.76	$2.09	-$39.67	38% 1374-2228 (3602)
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100	Boise State Broncosavg 6¢	$0.32	$0.42	+$0.11	38% 1375-2208 (3583)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100	Boise State Broncosavg 1.4¢	$0.21	$0.32	+$0.11	50% 2863-2911 (5774)
HI hi774cCTR<$100	Boise State Broncosavg 20¢	$0.29	$0.12	-$0.17	26% 249-695 (944)

RN1

Nebraska Cornhuskers

Invested

$696.21

Value

$701.2

PnL

+$5

Record

54%

6042-5119 (11161)

38791873984189

Nebraska Cornhuskers

Invested

$210.22

Value

$222.64

PnL

+$12.42

Record

48%

3997-4384 (8381)

HomeRunHazard

Nebraska Cornhuskers

Invested

$149.07

Value

$173.59

PnL

+$24.53

Record

56%

3922-3103 (7025)

thirdt1me<$100

Nebraska Cornhuskers

Invested

$91

Value

$92

PnL

+$1

Record

47%

376-418 (794)

Pan9X<$100

Nebraska Cornhuskers

Invested

$48.47

Value

$48.38

PnL

-$0.09

Record

50%

2197-2203 (4400)

Flaznorp<$100

Nebraska Cornhuskers

Invested

$17.43

Value

$18.83

PnL

+$1.4

Record

49%

4712-4983 (9695)

LimousinCTR<$100

Boise State Broncos

Invested

$50.74

Value

$10.95

PnL

-$39.79

Record

38%

1353-2203 (3556)

VenusianCTR<$100

Boise State Broncos

Invested

$41.76

Value

$2.09

PnL

-$39.67

Record

38%

1374-2228 (3602)

MadridTimeCTR<$100

Boise State Broncos

Invested

$0.32

Value

$0.42

PnL

+$0.11

Record

38%

1375-2208 (3583)

keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100

Boise State Broncos

Invested

$0.21

Value

$0.32

PnL

+$0.11

Record

50%

2863-2911 (5774)

hi774cCTR<$100

Boise State Broncos

Invested

$0.29

Value

$0.12

PnL

-$0.17

Record

26%

249-695 (944)

Research grade

AvoidNebraska Cornhuskers at 100%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

Smart Money Signal

Nebraska Cornhuskers

6 of 11 top traders (55%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

6 traders

Top 2 hold 74%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

67% of non-arb traders are on Nebraska Cornhuskers. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 74% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

ctrBoise State Broncos 100% · 3

Diverging

Hand-pickedNebraska Cornhuskers 100% · 1

Aligned

Top 1000Nebraska Cornhuskers 67% · 9

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Nebraska Cornhuskers wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.