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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-175993579546576marshkeeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1
Record (consensus markets)47% (41–47, n=88)no settled market43% (129–174, n=303)67% (354–171, n=525)
Consensus PnL-$411K—$115K-$102K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #363PM monthly #37PM monthly #43 + pinned
Sides with the consensus58% (14 of 24 open)no open consensus position51% (53 of 103 open)57% (61 of 107 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=21———
Settled positions, side won63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%100% of 40 at avg 62¢, ROI +44%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 287)0%6% (won 100% of 9)1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 50% of 452)30% (won 100% of 12)42% (won 100% of 63)26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 68% of 546)35% (won 100% of 14)40% (won 100% of 61)40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 588)35% (won 100% of 14)12% (won 100% of 18)33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

18 on the same side, 28 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-175993579546576marshkeeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Bucks $37K—Knicks $565Bucks $169
Spread: Knicks (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Bucks $18K—Bucks $480Knicks $661
Bucks vs. Knicks
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Bucks $8.5K—Bucks $790Knicks $4.0K
Spread: Knicks (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Knicks $2.1K—Bucks $90Knicks $795
Knoxville: Marcos Giron vs Maks Kasnikowski
same side · consensus Marcos Giron
Marcos Giron $13K—Marcos Giron $16KMarcos Giron $13K
Ohio vs. Miami (OH)
same side · consensus Miami (OH)
Miami (OH) $70—Miami (OH) $2.8KMiami (OH) $317
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Jazz $19K—Heat $22K—
Celtics vs. 76ers
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $26K—76ers $13K—
Spread: Knicks (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Bucks $1.2K—Knicks $35K—
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $17K—Under $799—
Ohio vs. Miami (OH): O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $15KOver $413
Michigan State Spartans vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 147.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $123
Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 209.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $5.6KUnder $27
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
76ers $2—Celtics $4.0K—
Spread: Bowling Green (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bowling Green
——Kent State $3.3KBowling Green $343
Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.9KUnder $90
Spread: Knicks (-18.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
——Bucks $207Knicks $1.2K
W75 Brisbane: Sahaja Yamalapalli vs Olivia Gadecki
opposite sides · consensus Olivia Gadecki
——Sahaja Yamalapalli $251Olivia Gadecki $1.0K
Memphis Tigers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores
opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt Commodores
——Memphis Tigers $319Vanderbilt Commodores $892
Loyola Marymount Lions vs. Troy Trojans
opposite sides · consensus Loyola Marymount Lions
——Troy Trojans $11Loyola Marymount Lions $928
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Memphis Tigers
——Memphis Tigers $664Vanderbilt Commodores $135
Spread: Western Michigan (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Western Michigan
——Western Michigan $8Akron $740
W75 Brisbane: Savannah Broadus vs Maddison Inglis
opposite sides · consensus Maddison Inglis
——Savannah Broadus $335Maddison Inglis $230
Kent State vs. Bowling Green: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $12Over $411
Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $163Over $187
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
——Celtics $15476ers $186
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
——76ers $79Celtics $170
Spread: Celtics (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
——Celtics $15776ers $66
Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 211.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $7Under $112
Bradley Braves vs. Davidson Wildcats
opposite sides · consensus Davidson Wildcats
——Bradley Braves $9Davidson Wildcats $58
Brisbane 3: Matthew Dellavedova vs Sebastian Gorzny
same side · consensus Sebastian Gorzny
——Sebastian Gorzny $18KSebastian Gorzny $4.3K
Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $6.2K—Over $16K—
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $21KUnder $488
Spread: Magic (-5.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $15K—Magic $434—
Western Michigan vs. Akron
same side · consensus Western Michigan
Akron $10K—Akron $59—
Spread: Western Michigan (-20.5)
same side · consensus Western Michigan
——Akron $1.7KAkron $6.9K
Spread: Bowling Green (-2.5)
same side · consensus Bowling Green
——Bowling Green $2.0KBowling Green $2.3K
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
76ers $3.8K——76ers $198
Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5)
same side · consensus Kent State
Kent State $222—Kent State $1.4K—
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $56Under $434
Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-13.5)
same side · consensus Wyoming Cowboys
——Wyoming Cowboys $346Wyoming Cowboys $8
Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $221Over $30
Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $62Under $137
Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $48Under $42
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-15.5)
same side · consensus Memphis Tigers
——Vanderbilt Commodores $19Vanderbilt Commodores $7
Elon Phoenix vs. George Washington Revolutionaries
same side · consensus George Washington Revolutionaries
——Elon Phoenix $11Elon Phoenix $4