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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 77% (354–107, n=461) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 67% (383–189, n=572) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $49K | $779K | -$126K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #510 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #43 + pinned | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (90 of 133 open) | 33% (6 of 18 open) | 66% (97 of 146 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 56 at avg 76¢, ROI +23% | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 89 at avg 48¢, ROI +49% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 100% of 1) | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 11% (won 100% of 10) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 100% of 7) | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 26% (won 100% of 62) | 52% (won 100% of 46) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 21% (won 100% of 12) | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 40% (won 100% of 95) | 30% (won 100% of 27) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 64% (won 100% of 36) | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 33% (won 100% of 80) | 7% (won 100% of 6) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
57 on the same side, 52 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clippers vs. Suns opposite sides · consensus Suns | Suns $4.4K | Clippers $2 | Suns $11K | — |
| Spread: Magic (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Kings $734 | Kings $3.5K | Magic $725 | — |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | Suns $1.1K | Clippers $2.0K | Suns $528 | — |
| Spread: Suns (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | Clippers $1 | Clippers $254 | Suns $476 | — |
| Spread: Magic (-4.5) same side · consensus Kings | Kings $11 | Kings $406 | Kings $123 | — |
| Spread: Heat (-30.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $6.2K | — | Heat $213 | — |
| Spread: Heat (-24.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $3.2K | — | Heat $436 | — |
| Spread: Heat (-32.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $3.0K | — | Heat $71 | — |
| Spread: Heat (-34.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $2.7K | — | Heat $58 | — |
| Spread: Heat (-26.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $2.3K | — | Heat $313 | — |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $554 | — | Under $2.0K | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $1.7K | — | Under $871 | — |
| Spread: Suns (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | Suns $2.1K | — | Clippers $1 | — |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $499 | — | Under $1.5K | — |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 216.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1.3K | — | Under $354 | — |
| Spread: Heat (-36.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $1.6K | — | Heat $19 | — |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $590 | — | Under $986 | — |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 238.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $63 | — | Under $1.5K | — |
| Spread: Magic (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $1.1K | — | Magic $453 | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $904 | — | Under $517 | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 232.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $237 | — | Under $1.2K | — |
| Creighton Bluejays vs. Kansas State Wildcats opposite sides · consensus Creighton Bluejays | Kansas State Wildcats $358 | — | Creighton Bluejays $875 | — |
| Spread: Suns (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | Clippers $760 | — | Suns $448 | — |
| Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. TCU Horned Frogs opposite sides · consensus TCU Horned Frogs | TCU Horned Frogs $1.2K | — | Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks $21 | — |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 232.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $195 | — | Under $953 | — |
| Magic vs. Kings: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $673 | — | Under $450 | — |
| Spread: Jazz (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $1.1K | — | Jazz $2 | — |
| Magic vs. Kings: O/U 239.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.1K | — | Over $35 | — |
| Spread: Jazz (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $1.1K | — | Jazz $23 | — |
| Magic vs. Kings: O/U 217.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $694 | — | Under $324 | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 214.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $792 | — | Under $223 | — |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $579 | — | Under $433 | — |
| Magic vs. Kings: O/U 213.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $567 | — | Under $410 | — |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $36 | — | Under $855 | — |
| Spread: Ohio (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Ohio | Miami (OH) $42 | — | Ohio $812 | — |
| Magic vs. Kings: O/U 211.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $657 | — | Under $141 | — |
| Spread: Jazz (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $646 | — | Jazz $21 | — |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 244.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $37 | — | Under $536 | — |
| Spread: Arizona State Sun Devils (-18.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona State Sun Devils | Arizona State Sun Devils $485 | — | Hofstra Pride $15 | — |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 202.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1 | — | Over $473 | — |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 210.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $404 | — | Under $57 | — |
| Spread: Suns (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | Clippers $46 | — | Suns $366 | — |
| Spread: Magic (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | — | Kings $138 | Magic $186 | — |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 198.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $16 | — | Over $303 | — |
| Magic vs. Kings: O/U 235.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $62 | — | Under $252 | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 210.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $26 | — | Over $242 | — |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 248.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $5 | — | Under $140 | — |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 206.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1 | — | Over $140 | — |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 200.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $30 | — | Over $104 | — |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 246.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $32 | — | Under $83 | — |