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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
keeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99visselkobe
Record (consensus markets)47% (735–824, n=1559)53% (578–504, n=1082)57% (4–3, n=7)
Consensus PnL$653K$634K$25K
Tracked asPM monthly #16PM monthly #49PM monthly #895
Sides with the consensus53% (54 of 101 open)58% (47 of 81 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 469 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%75% of 826 at avg 53¢, ROI +13%100% of 4 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 100% of 23)13% (won 41% of 104)0%
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 100% of 161)25% (won 70% of 203)50% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢52% (won 100% of 243)45% (won 78% of 370)50% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 70¢ and up9% (won 100% of 42)18% (won 97% of 149)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99visselkobe
Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks
Oregon Ducks $19KPepperdine Waves $151K—
Spread: 49ers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
49ers $14KCowboys $59K—
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Mavericks $1.0KCeltics $40K—
Oilers vs. Flyers
opposite sides · consensus Oilers
Flyers $11KOilers $15K—
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Knicks $8.6KRaptors $14K—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 213.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $243Over $23K—
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
Raiders $65Seahawks $14K—
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $8.7KOver $1.4K—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $3.1KOver $5.8K—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $7.9KUnder $463—
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $6.6KOver $714—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $4.2KUnder $2.8K—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $6.6KUnder $153—
Spread: 49ers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
49ers $39Cowboys $1.9K—
Spread: Rams (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Cardinals $33Rams $304—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 215.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $56Over $191—
Spread: Rams (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Cardinals $170Rams $13—
49ers vs. Cowboys: O/U 56.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $50KOver $3.8K—
Rockets vs. Wizards
same side · consensus Rockets
Rockets $17KRockets $13K—
Lakers vs. Suns
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $22KLakers $646—
Steelers vs. Bengals
same side · consensus Bengals
Steelers $19KSteelers $317—
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $16KJazz $923—
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $6.7KJazz $84—
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
Clippers $2.7KClippers $3.3K—
Rams vs. Cardinals
same side · consensus Rams
Cardinals $5.0KCardinals $42—
Rams vs. Cardinals: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $3.4KUnder $198—
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $857Under $1.1K—
Spread: Rams (-9.5)
same side · consensus Rams
Cardinals $42Cardinals $1.8K—
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $26Under $1.7K—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $260Under $614—
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $6Under $445—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $6Under $261—
Washington Huskies vs. Utah Utes
same side · consensus Utah Utes
Utah Utes $19Utah Utes $153—