Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788keeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99visselkobe
Record (consensus markets)56% (25–20, n=45)47% (735–824, n=1559)53% (578–504, n=1082)57% (4–3, n=7)
Consensus PnL$861K$653K$634K$25K
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #16PM monthly #49PM monthly #895
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)52% (55 of 106 open)58% (46 of 80 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 24 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%100% of 469 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%75% of 826 at avg 53¢, ROI +13%100% of 4 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 100% of 1)5% (won 100% of 23)13% (won 41% of 104)0%
Entries 30–50¢58% (won 100% of 14)34% (won 100% of 161)25% (won 70% of 203)50% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 100% of 8)52% (won 100% of 243)45% (won 78% of 370)50% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 100% of 1)9% (won 100% of 42)18% (won 97% of 149)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788keeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99visselkobe
Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks
—Oregon Ducks $19KPepperdine Waves $151K—
Spread: 49ers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—49ers $14KCowboys $59K—
Hornets vs. Clippers
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Clippers $42K—Hornets $638—
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Mavericks $1.0KCeltics $40K—
Oilers vs. Flyers
opposite sides · consensus Oilers
—Flyers $11KOilers $15K—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 213.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $243Over $23K—
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Knicks $8.4KRaptors $14K—
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $65Seahawks $15K—
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $8.7KOver $1.4K—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $3.1KOver $5.8K—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $7.9KUnder $463—
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $6.6KOver $714—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $4.2KUnder $2.8K—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $6.6KUnder $153—
Spread: 49ers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—49ers $39Cowboys $1.9K—
Spread: Rams (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $33Rams $304—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 215.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $56Over $133—
Spread: Rams (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $170Rams $13—
49ers vs. Cowboys: O/U 56.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $50KOver $3.8K—
Rockets vs. Wizards
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $17KRockets $14K—
Lakers vs. Suns
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $22KLakers $646—
Steelers vs. Bengals
same side · consensus Bengals
—Steelers $19KSteelers $317—
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $16KJazz $923—
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $6.7KJazz $84—
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
—Clippers $2.7KClippers $2.8K—
Rams vs. Cardinals
same side · consensus Rams
—Cardinals $4.7KCardinals $42—
Rams vs. Cardinals: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.4KUnder $198—
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $857Under $1.1K—
Spread: Rams (-9.5)
same side · consensus Rams
—Cardinals $42Cardinals $1.8K—
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $26Under $1.7K—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $205Under $614—
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $6Under $445—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $6Under $261—
Washington Huskies vs. Utah Utes
same side · consensus Utah Utes
—Utah Utes $19Utah Utes $153—