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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
hansama231HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighThunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (307–269, n=576)46% (323–386, n=709)40% (4–6, n=10)
Consensus PnL$0$308K$250K$365K
Tracked asPM monthly #833PM monthly #7PM monthly #26was PM monthly #70
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position67% (94 of 141 open)62% (67 of 108 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 164 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%100% of 228 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%80% of 5 at avg 39¢, ROI +62%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 100% of 1)7% (won 100% of 15)20% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—30% (won 100% of 49)39% (won 100% of 88)60% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢—62% (won 100% of 101)47% (won 100% of 108)20% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up—8% (won 100% of 13)7% (won 100% of 17)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Markethansama231HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighThunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Mavericks $68Timberwolves $53K—
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $2176ers $33K—
Spread: Memphis (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Memphis
—Memphis $98South Florida $12K—
Spread: Suns (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $7.6KSuns $5—
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $6Mavericks $7.1K—
Spread: Pistons (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Wizards $2.1KPistons $4.5K—
Spread: 76ers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—76ers $3.1KRaptors $2.9K—
Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1Over $4.9K—
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Wizards $2.0KPistons $36—
Blues vs. Utah: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.0KOver $62—
Wild vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $823Over $51—
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Raptors $13276ers $204—
Loyola Marymount Lions vs. South Alabama Jaguars
opposite sides · consensus Loyola Marymount Lions
—South Alabama Jaguars $300Loyola Marymount Lions $3—
Memphis vs. South Florida
opposite sides · consensus Memphis
—Memphis $179South Florida $109—
Spread: Louisiana (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Louisiana
—Louisiana-Monroe $35Louisiana $33—
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
same side · consensus Giants
—Commanders $2.6KCommanders $79K—
Jets vs. Stars
same side · consensus Stars
—Stars $10KStars $50K—
Pistons vs. Wizards
same side · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $2.6KPistons $40K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Mavericks $6.4KMavericks $14K—
Spread: Suns (-6.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $1.8KHornets $17K—
Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 40.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $6.8KUnder $7.3K—
Avalanche vs. Senators
same side · consensus Senators
—Senators $9.4KSenators $3.7K—
Lightning vs. Blue Jackets
same side · consensus Lightning
—Blue Jackets $81Blue Jackets $9.6K—
Blues vs. Utah
same side · consensus Utah
—Blues $4.9KBlues $4.1K—
Islanders vs. Kings
same side · consensus Kings
—Islanders $49Islanders $8.5K—
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $7.6KUnder $115—
Spread: Suns (-5.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $3.6KHornets $2—
Sabres vs. Blackhawks
same side · consensus Sabres
—Blackhawks $3.3KBlackhawks $164—
Spread: UTEP Miners (-4.5)
same side · consensus UTEP Miners
—UTEP Miners $1.5KUTEP Miners $7—
Wild vs. Maple Leafs
same side · consensus Wild
—Maple Leafs $526Maple Leafs $715—
Spread: Memphis (-4.5)
same side · consensus Memphis
—Memphis $267Memphis $283—
Canadiens vs. Bruins
same side · consensus Canadiens
—Canadiens $385Canadiens $160—
Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $21Over $128—
Lightning vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $13Over $44—
Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $7Over $33—