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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| fantasy7788 | ferdinand2 | googleplay | HomeRunHazard | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (5–4, n=9) | no settled market | 50% (5–5, n=10) | 54% (208–178, n=386) |
| Consensus PnL | $421K | — | $430K | $230K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #43 | was PM monthly #491 | PM monthly #17 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 57% (98 of 171 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 66% (113 of 170 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | not computed yet | none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 5 at avg 50¢, ROI +54% | — | 100% of 5 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 20% (won 100% of 1) | — | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 100% of 1) | — | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 100% of 31) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 3) | — | 80% (won 100% of 4) | 57% (won 100% of 55) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | — | 0% | 10% (won 100% of 10) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
24 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | fantasy7788 | ferdinand2 | googleplay | HomeRunHazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $9 | Bulls $113K | — |
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1 | — | Under $30K |
| Spread: Rockets (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Warriors | — | Warriors $2 | — | Rockets $26K |
| Lakers vs. Bucks opposite sides · consensus Lakers | — | Bucks $2 | — | Lakers $14K |
| Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $9 | — | Over $5.3K |
| Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $334 | — | Over $4.5K |
| Nets vs. Pelicans opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | — | Nets $597 | — | Pelicans $3.9K |
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $6 | — | Over $4.1K |
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Lakers | — | Lakers $13 | — | Bucks $3.3K |
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $23 | — | Over $2.2K |
| Spread: Lakers (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Lakers | — | Lakers $29 | — | Bucks $1.6K |
| Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $3 | — | Under $931 |
| Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $60 | — | Under $791 |
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $3 | — | Magic $239 |
| Spread: Spurs (-18.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | — | Spurs $3 | — | Bulls $232 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | Grizzlies $2 | — | Nuggets $192 |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $6 | — | Under $121 |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $39 | — | Under $9 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | Grizzlies $4 | — | Nuggets $37 |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $4 | — | Under $9 |
| Spread: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-19.5) opposite sides · consensus Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | — | Tulsa Golden Hurricane $4 | — | Oral Roberts Golden Eagles $5 |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $3 | — | Over $4 |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $9 | — | Under $37K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-2.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | Nuggets $57 | — | Nuggets $22K |
| Spread: Magic (-4.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $279 | — | Magic $14K |
| Spread: Spurs (-13.5) same side · consensus Bulls | — | Bulls $92 | — | Bulls $10K |
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $16 | — | Over $9.7K |
| Spurs vs. Bulls same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $131 | — | Spurs $9.3K |
| Predators vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $43 | — | Over $5.2K |
| Spread: Pelicans (-3.5) same side · consensus Nets | — | Nets $5 | — | Nets $5.2K |
| Flyers vs. Oilers same side · consensus Oilers | — | Flyers $6 | — | Flyers $4.3K |
| Spread: Spurs (-14.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | Bulls $47 | — | Bulls $2.7K |
| Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $18 | — | Over $2.3K |
| Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $19 | — | Under $1.7K |
| Spread: Lakers (-9.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | Bucks $5 | — | Bucks $1.6K |
| Penguins vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $43 | — | Over $1.4K |
| Avalanche vs. Senators same side · consensus Avalanche | — | Senators $76 | — | Senators $1.3K |
| Spread: Boise State Broncos (-16.5) same side · consensus Oakland Golden Grizzlies | — | Boise State Broncos $43 | — | Boise State Broncos $829 |
| Nevada Wolf Pack vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos same side · consensus Nevada Wolf Pack | — | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos $30 | — | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos $819 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-3.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $38 | — | Grizzlies $764 |
| Spread: Oregon Ducks (-33.5) same side · consensus Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils | — | Oregon Ducks $35 | — | Oregon Ducks $358 |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) same side · consensus Bulls | — | Spurs $9 | — | Spurs $341 |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $15 | — | Over $308 |
| Spread: Lakers (-16.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | Bucks $2 | — | Bucks $95 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-2.5) same side · consensus Nets | — | Nets $23 | — | Nets $66 |
| Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $25 | — | Under $37 |