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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
eleonorrigbyKch-Tempkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)59% (10–7, n=17)70% (16–7, n=23)47% (735–824, n=1559)53% (578–504, n=1082)
Consensus PnL$34K$592K$653K$634K
Tracked asPM monthly #922was PM monthly #256PM monthly #16PM monthly #49
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)60% (3 of 5 open)52% (55 of 106 open)58% (46 of 80 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 10 at avg 57¢, ROI +42%100% of 10 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%100% of 469 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%75% of 826 at avg 53¢, ROI +13%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 100% of 1)5% (won 100% of 23)13% (won 41% of 104)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 100% of 2)30% (won 100% of 3)34% (won 100% of 161)25% (won 70% of 203)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 4)60% (won 100% of 6)52% (won 100% of 243)45% (won 78% of 370)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 3)0%9% (won 100% of 42)18% (won 97% of 149)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketeleonorrigbyKch-Tempkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Steelers vs. Bengals
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
—Bengals $16KSteelers $19KSteelers $317
Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks
——Oregon Ducks $19KPepperdine Waves $151K
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $15K—49ers $109K
Spread: 49ers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
——49ers $14KCowboys $59K
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
——Mavericks $1.0KCeltics $40K
Seahawks vs. Raiders: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $19K—Under $22K
Oilers vs. Flyers
opposite sides · consensus Oilers
——Flyers $11KOilers $15K
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 213.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $243Over $23K
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
——Knicks $8.4KRaptors $14K
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
——Raiders $65Seahawks $15K
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $8.7KOver $1.4K
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $3.1KOver $5.8K
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $7.9KUnder $463
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $6.6KOver $714
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $4.2KUnder $2.8K
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $6.6KUnder $153
Spread: 49ers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
——49ers $39Cowboys $1.9K
Spread: Rams (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
——Cardinals $33Rams $304
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 215.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $56Over $133
Spread: Rams (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
——Cardinals $170Rams $13
49ers vs. Cowboys: O/U 56.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $50KOver $3.8K
Rockets vs. Wizards
same side · consensus Rockets
——Rockets $17KRockets $14K
Lakers vs. Suns
same side · consensus Lakers
——Lakers $22KLakers $646
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
——Jazz $16KJazz $923
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
——Jazz $6.7KJazz $84
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
——Clippers $2.7KClippers $2.8K
Rams vs. Cardinals
same side · consensus Rams
——Cardinals $4.7KCardinals $42
Rams vs. Cardinals: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $3.4KUnder $198
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $857Under $1.1K
Spread: Rams (-9.5)
same side · consensus Rams
——Cardinals $42Cardinals $1.8K
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $26Under $1.7K
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $205Under $614
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $6Under $445
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $6Under $261
Washington Huskies vs. Utah Utes
same side · consensus Utah Utes
——Utah Utes $19Utah Utes $153