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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
chinamaxFlaznorpprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)44% (72–91, n=163)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL-$133K$4.1M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #983PM monthly #9PM monthly #53PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position73% (145 of 199 open)59% (23 of 39 open)53% (85 of 159 open)
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +16 pts n=36, ROI −3%
  • MLB +9 pts n=65, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=10, ROI −2%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won66% of 119 at avg 52¢, ROI 0%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 13% of 8)29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢31% (won 49% of 37)16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢52% (won 81% of 62)15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up10% (won 75% of 12)40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

52 on the same side, 40 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketchinamaxFlaznorpprimmRN1
Broncos vs. Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Broncos
—Broncos $1.1KPanthers $6.6KBroncos $39K
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
—Commanders $320Commanders $285Rams $14K
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $5.4KChiefs $48KChiefs $13K
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $35K—No $190
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $17K—No $801
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
——Commanders $133Rams $12K
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $10K—Under $917
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $10K—Under $3
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $7.9K—Yes $675
Spread: Lions (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Dolphins $1.2KLions $6.8K
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
——Eagles $131Giants $7.1K
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens
—Racing Club de Lens $7.2K—Olympique de Marseille $1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Barcelona
—FC Barcelona $6.1K—Club Atlético de Madrid $3
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.9KUnder $2.0K
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.3KOver $1.9K
Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $5.0KOver $99
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $4.6KOver $142
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Schalke 04
—FC Schalke 04 $4.5K—TSG 1899 Hoffenheim $2
Spread: Lions (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
——Lions $2.0KDolphins $2.4K
Spread: Rams (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
——Commanders $745Rams $3.6K
Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $97Over $4.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859—Over $3.0K
Spread: Saints (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Saints $50Browns $3.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Spread: Saints (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Saints $958Browns $1.8K
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
——Colts $94Cowboys $2.6K
Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.6K—No $3
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Brown Bears vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Lehigh Mountain Hawks
—Brown Bears $466—Lehigh Mountain Hawks $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446—Under $1.4K
FC Utrecht vs. NEC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.3K—No $2
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $315
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Dolphins $267Lions $787
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $749—Under $275
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $334—Under $7
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 149.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $200—Under $46
Knoxville: Mitchell Krueger vs Samir Banerjee
opposite sides · consensus Mitchell Krueger
—Mitchell Krueger $79—Samir Banerjee $2
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $113K—No $44K
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $32K—Under $19K
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Lions
——Lions $47KLions $2.6K
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $20K—No $15K
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $7.7K—Over $24K
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $19K—Under $12K
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $20K—No $7.3K
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $13K—Over $10K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K