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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| buoys | Flaznorp | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (881–960, n=1841) | 52% (7690–6979, n=14669) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) | 50% (26154–25785, n=51939) |
| Consensus PnL | $99K | $4.1M | $14.8M | $1.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #975 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (105 of 163 open) | 71% (116 of 164 open) | 57% (56 of 99 open) | 66% (39 of 59 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Science −12 pts, n=19 | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 1752 at avg 41¢, ROI +2% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 42% (won 12% of 735) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 7% (won 99% of 3291) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 47% of 286) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 18% (won 100% of 9212) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 67% of 317) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 20% (won 100% of 9904) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 91% of 414) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 56% (won 100% of 27970) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
43 on the same side, 32 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | buoys | Flaznorp | RN1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | Over $1.7K | Under $20K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | Yes $1.9K | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $859 | Over $3.0K | Under $2.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 | No $2.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 | Under $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $446 | Under $1.4K | Under $67 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $837 | Yes $60 | No $174 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $702 | Under $20 | Over $5 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $354 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | No $2.5K | No $3.1K |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | Boluspor $747 | Boluspor $44 | Boluspor $1.5K |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $2.7K | — | No $15K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $360 | Under $7.6K |
| Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens | — | Racing Club de Lens $7.9K | Olympique de Marseille $1 | — |
| Exact Score: ACF Fiorentina 1 - 1 Juventus FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $141 | No $3.0K | — |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 3 FC Barcelona? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.5K | Yes $1.4K | — |
| Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid | — | Club Atlético de Madrid $2.8K | FC Barcelona $113 | — |
| Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.2K | — | Yes $752 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $226 |
| FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $686 | — | No $929 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $873 | Yes $315 | — |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.1K | Yes $74 |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 1 FC Barcelona? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $882 | Yes $254 | — |
| Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand opposite sides · consensus Yanis Ghazouani Durand | — | Calvin Hemery $973 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand $100 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $471 | No $524 | — |
| 76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $856 | Under $33 | — |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $596 | — | Yes $154 |
| 76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $376 | Over $161 | — |
| Spread: FK Polissia (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus FK Kolos Kovalivka | — | FK Kolos Kovalivka $217 | — | FK Polissia $270 |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 0 FC Barcelona? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $320 | Yes $99 | — |
| CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $78 | Over $340 | — |
| Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $280 | — | Yes $6 |
| Spread: 76ers (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | — | 76ers $173 | Bulls $106 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $29 | Under $12 |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $76K | No $24K | — |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $32K | No $17K | — |
| Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $25K | No $19K | — |
| Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $30K | No $2.8K | — |
| Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $22K | No $2.7K | — |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid | — | Club Atlético de Madrid $13K | Club Atlético de Madrid $3.6K | — |
| Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5) same side · consensus CF Universidad de Chile | — | CD Cobresal $13K | CD Cobresal $3.5K | — |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $11K | Yes $5.1K | — |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 3 FC Barcelona? same side · consensus No | — | No $246 | No $12K | — |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5) same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid | — | Club Atlético de Madrid $12K | Club Atlético de Madrid $139 | — |
| ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $5.0K | Over $5.0K | — |
| Charlottesville: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo same side · consensus Aidan Mayo | — | Stefan Kozlov $6.5K | Stefan Kozlov $3.2K | — |
| FC Barcelona leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | No $3.8K | No $5.8K | — |
| Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus FC Barcelona | — | FC Barcelona $8.5K | FC Barcelona $11 | — |
| Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5) same side · consensus FC Barcelona | — | FC Barcelona $3.6K | FC Barcelona $3.2K | — |
| Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.1K | No $710 | — |