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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1omnibus-076daavtcchampion52
Record (consensus markets)53% (5927–5304, n=11231)65% (888–469, n=1357)50% (15072–15093, n=30165)46% (269–313, n=582)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$4.2M$3.0M$73K
Tracked asPM monthly #21PM monthly #147PM monthly #54PM monthly #289
Sides with the consensus63% (211 of 336 open)74% (34 of 46 open)54% (94 of 175 open)67% (10 of 15 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%45% of 531 at avg 44¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)8% (won 60% of 874)42% (won 3% of 223)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 87% of 2384)17% (won 33% of 88)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)38% (won 95% of 4296)13% (won 78% of 69)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 99% of 3716)28% (won 99% of 151)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

47 on the same side, 30 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1omnibus-076daavtcchampion52
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Real Madrid CF
Real Madrid CF $24K—AEK $4.7K—
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $8.7K—Under $15K—
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $9.2K—Under $9—
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils
Arthur Fils $2.6K—Tomas Machac $3.1K—
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.5K—Under $2.2K—
M25 Heraklion: Henri Haupt vs Alexandre Aubriot
opposite sides · consensus Alexandre Aubriot
Henri Haupt $886—Alexandre Aubriot $2.4K—
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.5K—Yes $5—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.7K—Yes $10—
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.6K—No $55—
Rolex Paris Masters: Nuno Borges vs Karen Khachanov
opposite sides · consensus Nuno Borges
Nuno Borges $901—Karen Khachanov $172—
M25 Valencia: Ignacio Parisca vs Eric Vanshelboim
opposite sides · consensus Eric Vanshelboim
Ignacio Parisca $298—Eric Vanshelboim $653—
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $380—Yes $508—
Will Al Wahda FC (UAE) win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $822—Yes $6—
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $89—Yes $691—
Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet
opposite sides · consensus Laura Samson
Laura Samson $554—Carole Monnet $202—
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $551—Under $196—
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Pacers $504—Grizzlies $3—
Will KV Kortrijk win on 2026-10-23?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $315—No $147—
Will FK Radnicki Nis win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $387—Yes $23—
M25 Heraklion: Tomas Curras Abasolo vs Robert Guna
opposite sides · consensus Tomas Curras Abasolo
Tomas Curras Abasolo $341—Robert Guna $24—
Charlottesville: Liam Draxl vs Maks Kasnikowski
opposite sides · consensus Maks Kasnikowski
Maks Kasnikowski $296—Liam Draxl $31—
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $291—No $8—
W15 Monastir: Serena Paris vs Sara Husar
opposite sides · consensus Sara Husar
Serena Paris $4—Sara Husar $274—
Cavaliers vs. Thunder
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Cavaliers $12—Thunder $260—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $143—Over $28—
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $137—Yes $6—
Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus CR Flamengo
CR Flamengo $121—Grêmio FBPA $4—
W50 Heraklion: Angela Fita Boluda vs Angelica Raggi
opposite sides · consensus Angelica Raggi
Angelica Raggi $49—Angela Fita Boluda $75—
CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $52—Under $43—
M15 Hilton Head Island, SC: Liam Krall vs Henry Lieberman
opposite sides · consensus Henry Lieberman
Liam Krall $6—Henry Lieberman $41—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $4.7K—No $11K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $13K—Under $1.6K—
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $7.1K—No $1.7K—
Villa Maria: Federico Aguilar vs Nicolas Kicker
same side · consensus Nicolas Kicker
Nicolas Kicker $6.3K—Nicolas Kicker $766—
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev
same side · consensus Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev $5.5K—Daniil Medvedev $1.2K—
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
Yes $6.1K—Yes $33—
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $5.3K—Over $29—
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
Yes $2.4K—Yes $1.5K—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
Yes $2.5K—Yes $648—
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Nicolas Bruna
same side · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
Juan Bautista Torres $1.5K—Juan Bautista Torres $221—
M15 San Gregorio di Catania: Giannicola Misasi vs Mariano Tammaro
same side · consensus Giannicola Misasi
Giannicola Misasi $69—Giannicola Misasi $1.7K—
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
same side · consensus No
No $1.4K—No $12—
Cali: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Luisina Giovannini
same side · consensus Luisina Giovannini
Luisina Giovannini $1.2K—Luisina Giovannini $116—
Exact Score: Al Ittihad Saudi Club 0 - 0 NEOM SC?
same side · consensus No
No $1.3K—No $1—
Villa Maria: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Ficovich
same side · consensus Joaquin Aguilar
Joaquin Aguilar $1.1K—Joaquin Aguilar $191—
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
Yes $663—Yes $627—
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 213.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $118—Under $1.1K—
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Lakers $572—Lakers $613—
Will Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
No $93—No $1.0K—
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $940—No $103—