Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Alexandre Aubriot β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Alexandre Aubriot

M25 Heraklion: Henri Haupt vs Alexandre Aubriot
Resolved Alexandre Aubriot. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Alexandre Aubriot. The smart money was right.
π
Won
13
Alexandre Aubriot 54%
1 arb excluded
$6.9K
$-1.1K
Smart Money Signal
7 of 13 top traders (54%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() 0x5fD2D9C60781D711721145Ff2b906aA63a18 | Alexandre Aubriotavg 99Β’ | $4.0K | $4.0K | +$41.18 | 66% 619-325 (944) |
OM omnibus-076daa | Alexandre Aubriotavg 70.2Β’ | $1.7K | $2.5K | +$740.15 | 50% 20734-20980 (41714) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Henri Hauptavg 47.2Β’ | $1.8K | β | $-1.8K | 51% 24219-22949 (47168) |
![]() poshposh | Alexandre Aubriotavg 78Β’ | $150.58 | $192.31 | +$41.73 | 57% 12266-9326 (21592) |
![]() RN1ARB<$100 | Henri Hauptavg 36.6Β’ | $626.23 | $45 | -$581.23 | 53% 60059-52427 (112486) |
| β Alexandre Aubriot leg | Alexandre Aubriotavg 92.3Β’ | $41.51 | $45 | +$3.49 | |
| β Henri Haupt leg | Henri Hauptavg 36.6Β’ | $584.71 | β | -$584.71 | |
US User7429<$100 | Alexandre Aubriotavg 71.4Β’ | $37.04 | $51.84 | +$14.8 | 56% 8924-7131 (16055) |
0X 0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554CTR<$100 | Henri Hauptavg 1Β’ | $23.7 | β | -$23.7 | 53% 3363-2944 (6307) |
PA pauleta23<$100 | Alexandre Aubriotavg 99Β’ | $39.94 | $40.36 | +$0.42 | 66% 23988-12172 (36160) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100 | Henri Hauptavg 1.4Β’ | $24.89 | β | -$24.89 | 59% 31860-22491 (54351) |
LR lryyy<$100 | Alexandre Aubriotavg 78Β’ | $18.92 | $22 | +$3.08 | 47% 9222-10346 (19568) |
0X 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0<$100 | Alexandre Aubriotavg 77.5Β’ | $15.5 | $20 | +$4.5 | 65% 5171-2807 (7978) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Henri Hauptavg 15.9Β’ | $11.59 | β | -$11.59 | 47% 11071-12407 (23478) |
IW iWasEnoughCTR | Henri Hauptavg 1.4Β’ | $1.6K | β | -$23.06 | 51% 11912-11302 (23214) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Henri Hauptavg 35.5Β’ | $24.5 | β | -$24.5 | 48% 59237-63255 (122492) |
0x5fD2D9C60781D711721145Ff2b906aA63a18Invested
$4,040.05
Value
$4.0K
PnL
+$41.18
Record
66%
619-325 (944)
Invested
$1,745.96
Value
$2.5K
PnL
+$740.15
Record
50%
20734-20980 (41714)
Invested
$1,824.83
Value
β
PnL
$-1.8K
Record
51%
24219-22949 (47168)
poshposhInvested
$150.58
Value
$192.31
PnL
+$41.73
Record
57%
12266-9326 (21592)
RN1ARB<$100Invested
$626.23
Value
$45
PnL
-$581.23
Record
53%
60059-52427 (112486)
Both legs:
Invested
$37.04
Value
$51.84
PnL
+$14.8
Record
56%
8924-7131 (16055)
Invested
$23.7
Value
β
PnL
-$23.7
Record
53%
3363-2944 (6307)
Invested
$39.94
Value
$40.36
PnL
+$0.42
Record
66%
23988-12172 (36160)
Invested
$24.89
Value
β
PnL
-$24.89
Record
59%
31860-22491 (54351)
Invested
$18.92
Value
$22
PnL
+$3.08
Record
47%
9222-10346 (19568)
Invested
$15.5
Value
$20
PnL
+$4.5
Record
65%
5171-2807 (7978)
Invested
$11.59
Value
β
PnL
-$11.59
Record
47%
11071-12407 (23478)
Invested
$1,626.81
Value
β
PnL
-$23.06
Record
51%
11912-11302 (23214)
Invested
$24.5
Value
β
PnL
-$24.5
Record
48%
59237-63255 (122492)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market

0x5fD2D9C60781D711721145Ff2b906aA63a18
Alexandre Aubriot β $4.0K
omnibus-076daa
Alexandre Aubriot β $2.5K
Flaznorp
CTRHenri Haupt β $0

poshposh
Alexandre Aubriot β $192.31

RN1
ARBArbitrage β excluded
User7429
Alexandre Aubriot β $51.84
0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554
CTRHenri Haupt β $0
pauleta23
Alexandre Aubriot β $40.36
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
CTRHenri Haupt β $0
lryyy
Alexandre Aubriot β $22