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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | ndb1 | NM-P | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (7602–6859, n=14461) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) | 56% (8189–6394, n=14583) | 51% (28105–27112, n=55217) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.1M | $4.8M | -$212K | $1.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #92 | PM monthly #339 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (98 of 152 open) | 72% (108 of 150 open) | 58% (46 of 80 open) | 64% (44 of 69 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 4135 at avg 68¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 6% (won 100% of 257) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 21% (won 100% of 860) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 21% (won 100% of 888) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 52% (won 100% of 2130) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
43 on the same side, 26 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | ndb1 | NM-P | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2.7K | — | No $1.4K | No $15K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | No $14K | — | Yes $226 | No $3.1K |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.0K | — | No $1.3K | Yes $153 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | Under $1.2K | Under $21K |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | No $1.6K | — | No $23 | No $1.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $10 | — | — | Under $5.2K |
| Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.2K | — | — | Yes $757 |
| FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $561 | — | — | No $1.1K |
| Lions vs. Dolphins opposite sides · consensus Dolphins | Dolphins $168 | — | Lions $859 | — |
| Cowboys vs. Colts opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Colts $91 | — | Cowboys $815 | — |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $660 | — | No $145 | — |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | No $596 | — | — | Yes $154 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $721 | — | — | Over $5 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 - 3 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $25 | Yes $674 |
| Cardinals vs. Seahawks opposite sides · consensus Seahawks | Cardinals $163 | — | Seahawks $479 | — |
| Hawai'i vs. UTEP opposite sides · consensus Hawai'i | Hawai'i $470 | — | UTEP $163 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | — | Athletic Club $354 |
| Broncos vs. Panthers opposite sides · consensus Broncos | Broncos $341 | — | Panthers $212 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $475 | — | — | Under $64 |
| Jets vs. Chiefs opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Jets $67 | — | Chiefs $407 | — |
| Rams vs. Commanders opposite sides · consensus Rams | Commanders $218 | — | Rams $209 | — |
| Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $328 | — | — | Yes $6 |
| FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $117 | — | — | Over $54 |
| Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 0 - 3 FK Polissia? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $42 | — | — | No $50 |
| Will Elche CF win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $57 | — | No $11 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $51 | — | — | Under $12 |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | No $6 | — | Yes $32 | — |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $2 | No $12 |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | No $24K | — | No $1.1K | — |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | No $985 | No $18K | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | — | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | — | No $2.7K |
| Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | No $4.5K | — | No $1.2K | — |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $4.1K | — | No $1.1K | — |
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | No $1.7K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | — | Under $1.5K |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | No $2.7K | — | No $1.4K | — |
| Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | No $3.5K | — | No $285 | — |
| Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $1.7K | — | No $1.8K | — |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $1.5K | — | No $1.9K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $613 | — | — | Under $1.4K |
| Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | No $1.6K | — | No $423 | — |
| Will Académico de Viseu FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $1.4K | — | No $407 | — |
| Will CD Anaitasuna win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus No | No $1.2K | — | — | No $104 |
| Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $814 | — | — | Yes $290 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $1.1K | — | — | Over $7 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | No $837 | — | — | No $174 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $203 | — | — | Under $801 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $406 | — | — | Under $595 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $95 | — | — | Under $872 |