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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677omnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (7711–7000, n=14711)43% (10–13, n=23)50% (17420–17304, n=34724)48% (17936–19365, n=37301)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$3.3M$2.8M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #8was PM monthly #584PM monthly #27 + pinned
Sides with the consensus66% (73 of 111 open)no open consensus position52% (60 of 116 open)56% (33 of 59 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%92% of 12930 at avg 61¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)8% (won 60% of 989)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 87% of 2698)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)38% (won 95% of 4911)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)34% (won 99% of 4332)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

29 on the same side, 29 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677omnibus-076daaRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Under $1.5KOver $1.7K
Golden Knights vs. Sabres
opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights
Sabres $134—Sabres $2Golden Knights $1.0K
Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $1.4K—No $10No $1.6K
Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $864—No $286No $268
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Texans
——Chargers $471Texans $8.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Pistons $4.1K——Lakers $84
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $859——Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446——Under $1.4K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.5K—Yes $11—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Lakers $757—Pistons $446—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873——Yes $315
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Lakers $873—Pistons $314—
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $995—No $176—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471——No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837——Yes $60
Packers vs. Patriots: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $762Over $61
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $651—Yes $138—
Will Vitesse Arnhem vs. De Graafschap end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $148—Yes $428—
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $543—No $4—
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Patriots
——Patriots $56Packers $489
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Mavericks $314——Nets $146
Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Mavericks $200—Nets $246—
Nagasaki Velca vs. Sendai 89ers
opposite sides · consensus Sendai 89ers
Sendai 89ers $244—Nagasaki Velca $194—
Will Vitesse Arnhem win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $362—Yes $8—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272——No $11
Spread: Richmond Spiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Richmond Spiders
Temple Owls $63——Richmond Spiders $217
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $222—Over $42—
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $107——Under $116
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $7.1K——Coco Gauff $40K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Will CD Universidad de Concepción win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $1.9K——No $3.4K
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Janice Tjen
Janice Tjen $4.6K—Janice Tjen $3—
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
same side · consensus Seahawks
——Seahawks $417Seahawks $3.9K
Richmond Spiders vs. Temple Owls
same side · consensus Richmond Spiders
Richmond Spiders $3.2K——Richmond Spiders $643
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Heat $298—Heat $1.9K—
Real Madrid vs. CB Murcia
same side · consensus Real Madrid
Real Madrid $1.4K—Real Madrid $550—
Will FK Kharkiv win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $1.4K—No $36—
UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $683—No $291—
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $390—Over $469—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $747——Boluspor $44
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $612——Pistons $171
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $167—Under $403—
Exact Score: Riga FC 0 - 0 FC RFS?
same side · consensus No
No $508—No $41—
Scafati Basket vs. Napoli Basketball
same side · consensus Scafati Basket
Scafati Basket $287—Scafati Basket $225—
Heat vs. Kings
same side · consensus Heat
Kings $352—Kings $60—
Karsiyaka vs. Besiktas
same side · consensus Besiktas
Karsiyaka $306—Karsiyaka $38—