Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Magda Linette

7 of 8 top Polymarket traders hold Janice Tjen (88%) · Janice Tjen at 65¢ · $18K held · ends Nov 15

Janice Tjen65¢Magda Linette35¢Ends Sun, Nov 15, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Janice Tjen

Consensus Traders

Janice Tjen 88%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$17.9K

Combined PnL

$299.21

Smart Money Entry

63.4¢ → 64.5¢

+2% since entry · 7 traders

Research grade

NeutralJanice Tjen at 65%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Janice Tjen

7 of 8 top traders (88%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Janice Tjen65%

Magda Linette36%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Janice Tjen7 traders

Total Value$15.6K

Total Shares22,798

Combined PnL+$299.34

Magda Linette1 trader

Total Value$9.32

Total Shares27

Combined PnL-$0.13

Janice Tjen — 88%Magda Linette — 12%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

5 traders

Top 2 hold 86%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

71% of non-arb traders are on Janice Tjen. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 86% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleJanice Tjen 67% · 3

Aligned

ctrJanice Tjen 67% · 6

Aligned

Hand-pickedJanice Tjen 50% · 2

Aligned

Top 1000Janice Tjen 83% · 6

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
65 6512395314597884	Janice Tjenavg 63.3¢	$7.6K	$7.8K	+$140.67	51% 5614-5443 (11057)
FL Flaznorp	Janice Tjenavg 63.3¢	$4.6K	$4.6K	+$53.63	51% 46870-44196 (91066)
EU EulhunterARB<$100	Janice Tjenavg 63.7¢	$2.3K	$2.4K	+$45.52	53% 6776-5929 (12705)
└ Janice Tjen leg	Janice Tjenavg 63.7¢	$1.8K	$1.8K	+$23.19
└ Magda Linette leg	Magda Linetteavg 34¢	$506.01	$528.33	+$22.32
38 38791873984189	Janice Tjenavg 63.3¢	$2.1K	$1.3K	+$44.78	48% 70219-75923 (146142)
VeryLucky888	Janice Tjenavg 64.1¢	$3.0K	$1.1K	+$49.17	59% 52299-37045 (89344)
0xheavy888	Janice Tjenavg 65¢	$512.6	$516.54	+$3.94	56% 8592-6809 (15401)
EF efntrick	Janice Tjenavg 63.7¢	$318.05	$245.99	+$7.13	49% 3711-3940 (7651)
nigiri99CTR<$100	Magda Linetteavg 35¢	$9.45	$9.32	-$0.13	45% 14412-17706 (32118)
OM omnibus-076daa<$100	Janice Tjenavg 64¢	$3.25	$3.28	+$0.03	50% 23433-23429 (46862)

6512395314597884

Janice Tjen

Invested

$7,632.43

Value

$7.8K

PnL

+$140.67

Record

51%

5614-5443 (11057)

Flaznorp

Janice Tjen

Invested

$4,564.51

Value

$4.6K

PnL

+$53.63

Record

51%

46870-44196 (91066)

EulhunterARB<$100

Janice Tjen

Invested

$2,323.64

Value

$2.4K

PnL

+$45.52

Record

53%

6776-5929 (12705)

Both legs:

Janice Tjen$1,817.6463.7¢+$23.19

Magda Linette$506.0134¢+$22.32

38791873984189

Janice Tjen

Invested

$2,063.52

Value

$1.3K

PnL

+$44.78

Record

48%

70219-75923 (146142)

VeryLucky888

Janice Tjen

Invested

$3,016.9

Value

$1.1K

PnL

+$49.17

Record

59%

52299-37045 (89344)

0xheavy888

Janice Tjen

Invested

$512.6

Value

$516.54

PnL

+$3.94

Record

56%

8592-6809 (15401)

efntrick

Janice Tjen

Invested

$318.05

Value

$245.99

PnL

+$7.13

Record

49%

3711-3940 (7651)

nigiri99CTR<$100

Magda Linette

Invested

$9.45

Value

$9.32

PnL

-$0.13

Record

45%

14412-17706 (32118)

omnibus-076daa<$100

Janice Tjen

Invested

$3.25

Value

$3.28

PnL

+$0.03

Record

50%

23433-23429 (46862)

Research grade

NeutralJanice Tjen at 65%

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

Janice Tjen

7 of 8 top traders (88%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

5 traders

Top 2 hold 86%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

71% of non-arb traders are on Janice Tjen. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 86% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleJanice Tjen 67% · 3

Aligned

ctrJanice Tjen 67% · 6

Aligned

Hand-pickedJanice Tjen 50% · 2

Aligned

Top 1000Janice Tjen 83% · 6

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Janice Tjen wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance66.6%

64.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.1¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$50.08

Max Loss

-$100.00

150.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.