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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677PT-S7RN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (7654–6941, n=14595)43% (10–13, n=23)50% (479–478, n=957)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$3.3M-$86K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #8PM monthly #783PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus76% (188 of 248 open)no open consensus position31% (5 of 16 open)55% (65 of 118 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 215 at avg 76¢, ROI +20%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)1% (won 100% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)5% (won 100% of 11)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)19% (won 100% of 41)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)75% (won 100% of 161)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

42 on the same side, 36 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677PT-S7RN1
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $64K—Yes $135No $55K
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $8.6K—Yes $3No $3.6K
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3.8K—Yes $411Yes $5.3K
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $7.5K—Yes $679No $176
Will SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.4K—No $498Yes $96
Lions vs. Dolphins
opposite sides · consensus Lions
Dolphins $165—Lions $215Lions $2.0K
Will Levante UD win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.0K—Yes $42No $16
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Colts $190—Colts $348Cowboys $1.4K
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Commanders $221—Commanders $13Rams $66
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $125K—No $915No $96K
Will Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $24K—No $81No $12K
Panthers vs. Bruins
same side · consensus Bruins
Panthers $30—Panthers $32Panthers $28
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $16K——Over $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.7K
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $232
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $7
Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus SC Freiburg
1. FC Union Berlin $7.2K——SC Freiburg $3.0K
Will CSD Colo-Colo win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $6.0K——No $753
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 1 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $826——No $5.2K
Jets vs. Chiefs
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $5.1K—Jets $303—
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.6K——Under $2.3K
Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Aston Villa FC
Aston Villa FC $4.8K——Manchester United FC $12
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 1 - 0 Aston Villa FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.8K——Yes $1
KFC Komárno vs. MFK Zemplín Michalovce: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $4.2K——Under $43
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $845——Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $6
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.8K——Under $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 3 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.7K——Yes $255
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446——Under $1.4K
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 2 - 3 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.4K——Yes $108
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Virginia Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers
Virginia Cavaliers $875——Arkansas Razorbacks $412
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873——Yes $315
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471——No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837——Yes $60
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 3 Aston Villa FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $440——Yes $18
Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $370——Yes $28
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 1 - 3 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $20——Yes $1
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $74K——Yes $14K
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $39K——No $20K
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $54K——No $4.8K
Will NEC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $17K——No $8.7K
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Manchester United FC
Manchester United FC $21K——Manchester United FC $3.1K
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Aston Villa FC
Aston Villa FC $19K——Aston Villa FC $1.1K
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $17K——Under $402
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $12K——Over $4.3K
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $4.5K——No $4.0K
Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $7.2K——No $1.1K