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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighPuckaBegemota
Record (consensus markets)71% (2092–854, n=2946)54% (448–384, n=832)48% (503–539, n=1042)77% (10–3, n=13)
Consensus PnL$387K$332K$462K$25K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #9PM monthly #21PM monthly #836
Sides with the consensus51% (144 of 280 open)68% (90 of 132 open)61% (20 of 33 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicSoccer ±0 pts, n=381———
Settled positions, side won44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 212 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%100% of 329 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%—
Entries under 30¢40% (won 6% of 362)1% (won 100% of 2)6% (won 100% of 19)—
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 43% of 192)32% (won 100% of 68)36% (won 100% of 120)—
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 103)60% (won 100% of 127)50% (won 100% of 166)—
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 95% of 239)7% (won 100% of 15)7% (won 100% of 24)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

21 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighPuckaBegemota
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL)
Duke $356Miami (FL) $48Miami (FL) $145—
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes
—Kraken $41Hurricanes $34K—
Spread: Norway (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Norway
Wales $3.3K—Norway $15K—
Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2.3K—Under $15K—
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.5KOver $3.4K—
Kosovo vs. Israel: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $926—Under $4.9K—
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Denmark
Portugal $1.4K—Denmark $4.0K—
Florida vs. Kentucky
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
Florida $489—Kentucky $916—
Spread: Kentucky (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida
—Florida $19Kentucky $1.2K—
M25 San Gregorio di Catania: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Raffaele Ciurnelli
opposite sides · consensus Alex Marti Pujolras
Alex Marti Pujolras $1.0K—Raffaele Ciurnelli $23—
Tulane Green Wave vs. Akron Zips: O/U 155.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $13Under $946——
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Virtus.pro
Virtus.pro $100—BakS eSports $31—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $79Over $3——
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Nets $58Grizzlies $24——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
same side · consensus Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz $7.0K—Taylor Fritz $72K—
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
Pelicans $6.2KPelicans $8.1K——
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)
same side · consensus Red Wings
—Lightning $783Lightning $10K—
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
Mertens/Zhang $1.2K—Mertens/Zhang $9.4K—
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
same side · consensus FURIA
FURIA $67—FURIA $10K—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
Vikings $296Vikings $6.5K——
Spread: James Madison (-5.5)
same side · consensus UConn
—UConn $2.5KUConn $622—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $546Seahawks $1.5K——
Texas vs. LSU
same side · consensus LSU
—LSU $205LSU $1.8K—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $156Pistons $1.4K—
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $399Heat $1.1K——
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
Falcons $174Falcons $1.2K——
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Oklahoma State
Texas Tech $26Texas Tech $1.2K——
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $49Colts $1.1K——
Northwestern vs. Ohio State
same side · consensus Ohio State
Northwestern $31Northwestern $959——
Will Rodez Aveyron Football win on 2026-11-14?
same side · consensus No
No $700—No $52—
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-11-14?
same side · consensus No
No $219—No $71—
M15 Roldan: Juan Estevez vs Murkel Dellien
same side · consensus Juan Estevez
Juan Estevez $158—Juan Estevez $125—
Nepal Premier League: Biratnagar Kings vs Lumbini Lions
same side · consensus Biratnagar Kings
Lumbini Lions $19—Lumbini Lions $25—
Will Real Valladolid CF vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $6—Yes $14—
Abu Dhabi T10 League: Royal Desert Champions vs United Tigers
same side · consensus United Tigers
Royal Desert Champions $2—Royal Desert Champions $1—