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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Danny8273fantasy7788keeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)81% (21–5, n=26)55% (23–19, n=42)47% (692–767, n=1459)53% (532–472, n=1004)
Consensus PnL$6.4K$881K$865K$635K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #921PM monthly #18PM monthly #14PM monthly #53
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position61% (91 of 148 open)52% (57 of 109 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won88% of 25 at avg 72¢, ROI +11%100% of 23 at avg 47¢, ROI +53%100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%77% of 768 at avg 54¢, ROI +11%
Entries under 30¢0%4% (won 100% of 1)5% (won 100% of 23)12% (won 45% of 89)
Entries 30–50¢0%61% (won 100% of 14)34% (won 100% of 159)25% (won 71% of 190)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 78% of 9)30% (won 100% of 7)52% (won 100% of 243)45% (won 80% of 347)
Entries 70¢ and up64% (won 94% of 16)4% (won 100% of 1)9% (won 100% of 42)18% (won 99% of 142)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDanny8273fantasy7788keeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks
——Oregon Ducks $19KPepperdine Waves $150K
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Packers
——Vikings $21KPackers $38K
Dolphins vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Colts
——Dolphins $39KColts $1.3K
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
——Falcons $22KChiefs $19K
France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $28KUnder $9
Jaguars vs. Titans: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $25KUnder $2.8K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
——Pacers $21K76ers $24
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $3.7KUnder $3.2K
Bills vs. Jets: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $6.8KUnder $123
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $4.5KOver $2.2K
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $5.0KOver $907
Spread: Bills (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
——Bills $26Jets $5.2K
Rams vs. Cardinals
opposite sides · consensus Rams
——Rams $4.8KCardinals $199
Bills vs. Jets: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $3.3KUnder $609
Texans vs. Browns: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.8KOver $270
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $585Under $876
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma
——Ole Miss $558Oklahoma $694
Bills vs. Jets
same side · consensus Bills
——Bills $38KBills $122K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Titans
——Jaguars $10KJaguars $80K
49ers vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus 49ers
——49ers $23K49ers $61K
Vikings vs. Packers: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $24KUnder $27K
Steelers vs. Bengals
same side · consensus Bengals
——Steelers $19KSteelers $317
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Browns
——Browns $14KBrowns $157
Spread: France (-2.5)
same side · consensus Türkiye
——France $11KFrance $29
Belgium vs. Italy: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $7.1KOver $937
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $2.7KUnder $3.0K
Spread: Saints (-2.5)
same side · consensus Saints
——Panthers $4.5KPanthers $1.1K
Rams vs. Cardinals: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $4.4KUnder $284
Spain vs. England: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $3.3KOver $264
Panthers vs. Saints: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $2.0KOver $1.1K
Spread: Colts (-6.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
——Dolphins $531Dolphins $2.1K
Washington Huskies vs. Utah Utes
same side · consensus Utah Utes
——Utah Utes $20Utah Utes $276
Spread: Panthers (-7.5)
same side · consensus Saints
——Panthers $175Panthers $71