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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ply-pm4 | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (1156–919, n=2075) | 44% (11392–14477, n=25869) | 52% (7711–7000, n=14711) | 48% (17936–19365, n=37301) |
| Consensus PnL | $36K | -$8.8M | $4.1M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #980 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 65% (26 of 40 open) | 71% (113 of 159 open) | 59% (55 of 93 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 72% of 656 at avg 58¢, ROI +14% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 12% of 91) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 58% of 106) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 80% of 235) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 34% (won 95% of 224) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
38 on the same side, 30 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ply-pm4 | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | Under $13K | Over $1.7K |
| 76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $11K | Under $289 | Over $161 |
| Spread: 76ers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | — | Bulls $9.0K | 76ers $1.0K | 76ers $903 |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova same side · consensus Linda Noskova | — | Linda Noskova $68K | Linda Noskova $12K | Linda Noskova $10K |
| Knoxville: Mitchell Krueger vs Samir Banerjee same side · consensus Mitchell Krueger | — | Samir Banerjee $1.4K | Samir Banerjee $1.5K | Samir Banerjee $208 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $9.4K | Over $32K |
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | — | Pistons $32K | Lakers $873 | — |
| Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $28K | Over $390 | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | — | Pelicans $20K | Clippers $7 | — |
| Packers vs. Patriots opposite sides · consensus Packers | — | Patriots $10K | — | Packers $3.6K |
| Spread: Patriots (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Patriots | — | Patriots $10K | — | Packers $15 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $4.5K | Yes $1.9K |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 3 FC Barcelona? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $2.7K | Yes $2.9K |
| Spread: Heat (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | Kings $5.2K | Heat $298 | — |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.5K | Over $3.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $859 | Over $3.0K |
| Exact Score: ACF Fiorentina 1 - 1 Juventus FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $141 | No $3.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $148 | Yes $2.7K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $446 | Under $1.4K |
| Spread: Texans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Chargers | — | Chargers $5 | — | Texans $1.6K |
| Spread: Seahawks (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Seahawks | — | Cardinals $396 | — | Seahawks $1.1K |
| Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.3K | — | Over $208 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $873 | Yes $315 |
| Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus FC Barcelona | — | — | Club Atlético de Madrid $935 | FC Barcelona $88 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $471 | No $524 |
| 76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $904 | Under $37 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $837 | Yes $60 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $272 | No $11 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2 | Over $51 |
| Spread: 76ers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | — | 76ers $17 | Bulls $3 |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $132K | No $40K |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $49K | No $24K |
| Texans vs. Chargers same side · consensus Chargers | — | Texans $57K | — | Texans $9.3K |
| Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $30K | No $18K |
| Spread: Texans (-5.5) same side · consensus Chargers | — | Texans $43K | — | Texans $1.5K |
| Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $33K | No $5.1K |
| Cardinals vs. Seahawks same side · consensus Seahawks | — | Seahawks $29K | — | Seahawks $982 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $14K | No $2.5K |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 3 FC Barcelona? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $251 | No $16K |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid | — | — | Club Atlético de Madrid $13K | Club Atlético de Madrid $3.0K |
| Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $8.6K | No $3.8K |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5) same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid | — | — | Club Atlético de Madrid $12K | Club Atlético de Madrid $138 |
| FC Barcelona leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $3.8K | No $6.0K |
| Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus FC Barcelona | — | — | FC Barcelona $9.2K | FC Barcelona $53 |
| Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5) same side · consensus FC Barcelona | — | — | FC Barcelona $3.7K | FC Barcelona $3.2K |
| ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $3.1K | Under $3.1K |
| Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | — | Seahawks $1.3K | — | Seahawks $4.3K |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 2 FC Barcelona? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $586 | No $4.6K |