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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpmqwwRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)72% (200–78, n=278)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M-$24K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #9PM monthly #995PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus73% (43 of 59 open)72% (145 of 201 open)no open consensus position56% (92 of 163 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 288 at avg 69¢, ROI +22%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)1% (won 50% of 4)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)8% (won 58% of 24)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)41% (won 96% of 117)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)50% (won 100% of 143)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

40 on the same side, 36 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpmqwwRN1
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Bulls $4.3K76ers $797—76ers $371
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $315KNo $103K—No $24K
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $179K——Cowboys $1.9K
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $105K——No $2.9K
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Colts $101K——Cowboys $1.8K
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $67K——Eagles $20
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $37K——Eagles $8.7K
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $22K—No $402
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $17K—No $801
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $11K——Eagles $2.6K
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $12K—Under $21
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $9.4K—Under $4
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $7.3K—Yes $607
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens
—Racing Club de Lens $6.9K—Olympique de Marseille $1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Schalke 04
—FC Schalke 04 $4.4K—TSG 1899 Hoffenheim $288
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859—Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446—Under $1.4K
Fredrikstad FK vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $389—Over $1.4K
Brown Bears vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Lehigh Mountain Hawks
—Brown Bears $299—Lehigh Mountain Hawks $1.4K
FC Utrecht vs. NEC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.3K—No $2
Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.3K—Yes $4
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $315
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers
—Arkansas Razorbacks $231—Virginia Cavaliers $564
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $754—Under $14
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $240——76ers $155
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers
—Arkansas Razorbacks $349—Virginia Cavaliers $2
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $334—Under $7
ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $283—No $12
Will FC Utrecht vs. NEC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $247—Yes $3
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 149.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $177—Under $73
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas Razorbacks
—Arkansas Razorbacks $6—Virginia Cavaliers $49
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $45KColts $63——
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $18K—No $15K
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $17K—Under $12K
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $13K—Over $10K
Spread: Chiefs (-8.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $18K——Chiefs $1.6K
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $16K—No $4.2K
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $8.6K—Over $10K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5)
same side · consensus CF Universidad de Chile
—CD Cobresal $13K—CD Cobresal $3.5K
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
—Club Atlético de Madrid $9.3K—Club Atlético de Madrid $144
Will Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.3K—No $2.8K
Will NEC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.7K—No $1.9K
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04 end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.5K—No $2.7K