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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpfurialetsgokeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)55% (58–47, n=105)71% (2823–1176, n=3999)100% (1–0, n=1)47% (670–741, n=1411)
Consensus PnL$381K$529K$28K$885K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #8PM monthly #929PM monthly #14
Sides with the consensus40% (2 of 5 open)52% (120 of 232 open)no open consensus position61% (43 of 70 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +48 pts n=37, ROI +45%
  • NFL +46 pts n=11, ROI +47%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=204——
Settled positions, side won100% of 58 at avg 53¢, ROI +44%41% of 1316 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%—100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢0%40% (won 6% of 531)—5% (won 100% of 23)
Entries 30–50¢43% (won 100% of 25)24% (won 38% of 315)—34% (won 100% of 159)
Entries 50–70¢52% (won 100% of 30)11% (won 61% of 150)—52% (won 100% of 243)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 3)24% (won 94% of 320)—9% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

21 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpfurialetsgokeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Latvia vs. Armenia: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.7K—Under $34K
Vikings vs. Packers
opposite sides · consensus Packers
—Vikings $303—Packers $15K
CD Tenerife vs. AD Ceuta FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.8K—Over $7
France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.2K—Over $297
Helsinki: Luka Mikrut vs Iiro Vasa
opposite sides · consensus Luka Mikrut
—Luka Mikrut $793—Iiro Vasa $653
Counter-Strike: Omega vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - CCT Europe Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Iberian Soul
—Iberian Soul $16—Omega $535
Will CD Tenerife vs. AD Ceuta FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $125—No $95
Orleans (Doubles): Liutarevich/Pieczonka vs Paul/Vocel
opposite sides · consensus Paul/Vocel
—Liutarevich/Pieczonka $29—Paul/Vocel $124
Will Cyprus vs. Montenegro end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $81—No $63
Fraport Skyliners vs. Gladiators Trier
opposite sides · consensus Gladiators Trier
—Fraport Skyliners $100—Gladiators Trier $20
Montevideo: Bruno (2002) Oliveira vs Maximo Zeitune
opposite sides · consensus Maximo Zeitune
—Maximo Zeitune $24—Bruno (2002) Oliveira $66
Will Paris 13 Atletico vs. Red Star FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $23—Yes $21
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $620—Seahawks $19K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $165—Falcons $15K
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
—Mertens/Zhang $1.2K—Mertens/Zhang $9.3K
Will Armenia win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.4K—No $362
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $489—76ers $2.7K
Orleans: Otto Virtanen vs Nishesh Basavareddy
same side · consensus Otto Virtanen
—Otto Virtanen $392—Otto Virtanen $886
Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu
same side · consensus Michael Vrbensky
—Vadym Ursu $977—Vadym Ursu $37
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $205—Suns $809
Belarus vs. Albania: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $9—Under $972
Croatia vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $583—Under $303
Will Cyprus win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $770—Yes $32
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Mavericks $159—Mavericks $533
Will AS Saint-Étienne win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $518—No $8
Will Paris 13 Atletico win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
—No $422—No $102
Will GFA Rumilly Vallières win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $423—Yes $3
Spread: France (-2.5)
same side · consensus France
—France $149—France $209
Will Red Star FC win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $126—Yes $92
Abu Dhabi T10 League: Emirates Eagles vs UAE Bulls
same side · consensus UAE Bulls
—UAE Bulls $9—UAE Bulls $43
Abu Dhabi T10 League: Royal Desert Champions vs Arabian Aces
same side · consensus Royal Desert Champions
—Royal Desert Champions $3—Royal Desert Champions $23
Will Latvia vs. Armenia end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $15—Yes $1
Montevideo: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Santiago De la Fuente
same side · consensus Felipe Meligeni Alves
—Santiago De la Fuente $1—Santiago De la Fuente $14