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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpGC-PUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6615–6145, n=12760)82% (5642–1272, n=6914)50% (20890–20591, n=41481)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M$148K$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #10PM monthly #611PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)78% (114 of 146 open)69% (37 of 54 open)68% (30 of 44 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 4406 at avg 68¢, ROI +29%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)6% (won 99% of 262)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)21% (won 100% of 913)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)22% (won 100% of 971)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)51% (won 100% of 2260)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

30 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpGC-PUpTheBlues
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $14KYes $643No $3.1K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $494No $1.8KNo $15K
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $4.2KNo $188—
Sydney FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.5KUnder $248—
Will EC Juventude win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1KYes $31—
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1KYes $50—
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $621No $288—
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $553No $335—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $596—Yes $154
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $702—Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Athletic Club $354
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $64
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $139—No $249
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114—Athletic Club $218
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Polina Kudermetova
opposite sides · consensus Janice Tjen
—Janice Tjen $75Polina Kudermetova $231—
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $252Yes $42—
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $194Yes $55—
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
—Cardinals $159Seahawks $7—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $132—Yes $3
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Under $21K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.4K—No $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $3.1K—No $2.7K
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.2KNo $1.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Under $1.5K
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.9KNo $1.1K—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6K—No $1.1K
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4KNo $675—
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.9KNo $239—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $586—Under $1.4K
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1KNo $186—
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $536No $738—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.0K—Yes $153
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $155No $959—
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $772No $335—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $337—Under $755
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.1K—Over $8
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176—Under $796
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $361—Under $595
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $214No $490—
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $359No $328—
Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $467No $97—
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $311No $221—
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $314Yes $197—
Will Sydney FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $266No $156—
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Dolphins
—Dolphins $159Dolphins $125—
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $222Yes $52—
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $211No $5—
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $127—CD Pamplona $6