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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BignumFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)33% (9–18, n=27)71% (2825–1180, n=4005)47% (671–742, n=1413)
Consensus PnL-$4.6K$529K$890K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #953PM monthly #8PM monthly #14
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)58% (151 of 259 open)65% (46 of 71 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=204—
Settled positions, side won67% of 15 at avg 34¢, ROI +15%41% of 1316 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 50% of 6)40% (won 6% of 531)5% (won 100% of 23)
Entries 30–50¢40% (won 67% of 6)24% (won 38% of 315)34% (won 100% of 159)
Entries 50–70¢13% (won 100% of 2)11% (won 61% of 150)52% (won 100% of 243)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 1)24% (won 94% of 320)9% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBignumFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Vikings vs. Packers
opposite sides · consensus Packers
—Vikings $303Packers $15K
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Spurs $182Jazz $4.9K
France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.6KOver $297
Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu
opposite sides · consensus Michael Vrbensky
—Michael Vrbensky $1.8KVadym Ursu $74
Metz: Matisse Bobichon vs Ugo Blanchet
opposite sides · consensus Ugo Blanchet
—Ugo Blanchet $1.7KMatisse Bobichon $5
Metz: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Adrien Gobat
opposite sides · consensus Adrien Gobat
—Adrien Gobat $772Buvaysar Gadamauri $309
Fraport Skyliners vs. Gladiators Trier
opposite sides · consensus Gladiators Trier
—Fraport Skyliners $159Gladiators Trier $232
Will GFA Rumilly Vallières vs. AS Saint-Étienne end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $129No $15
Latvia vs. Armenia: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $4.2KUnder $50K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $620Seahawks $19K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $165Falcons $15K
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
—Mertens/Zhang $1.2KMertens/Zhang $9.3K
Will Armenia win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.9KNo $915
Spread: France (-2.5)
same side · consensus Türkiye
—France $154France $5.0K
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $48976ers $3.2K
Will Cyprus win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $3.1KYes $95
Helsinki: John Sperle vs Moez Echargui
same side · consensus Moez Echargui
—Moez Echargui $39Moez Echargui $2.6K
Will GFA Rumilly Vallières win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.8KYes $8
Orleans (Doubles): Liutarevich/Pieczonka vs Paul/Vocel
same side · consensus Paul/Vocel
—Paul/Vocel $241Paul/Vocel $1.4K
Orleans: Otto Virtanen vs Nishesh Basavareddy
same side · consensus Otto Virtanen
—Otto Virtanen $392Otto Virtanen $904
Dota 2: Froglings vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
same side · consensus Froglings
—LEGION $17LEGION $1.1K
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $213Suns $793
Belarus vs. Albania: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $20Under $972
Croatia vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $583Under $303
Will AS Saint-Étienne win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
—No $726No $113
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Mavericks $159Mavericks $555
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)
same side · consensus Czechia
—Croatia $193Croatia $429