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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188BignumFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)54% (13–11, n=24)33% (9–18, n=27)71% (2825–1180, n=4005)47% (671–742, n=1413)
Consensus PnL$841K-$4.6K$529K$890K
Tracked asPM monthly #22was PM monthly #953PM monthly #8PM monthly #14
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)58% (155 of 267 open)63% (46 of 73 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——College Basketball −4 pts, n=204—
Settled positions, side won100% of 13 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%67% of 15 at avg 34¢, ROI +15%41% of 1316 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢0%40% (won 50% of 6)40% (won 6% of 531)5% (won 100% of 23)
Entries 30–50¢46% (won 100% of 6)40% (won 67% of 6)24% (won 38% of 315)34% (won 100% of 159)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 100% of 7)13% (won 100% of 2)11% (won 61% of 150)52% (won 100% of 243)
Entries 70¢ and up0%7% (won 100% of 1)24% (won 94% of 320)9% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

18 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188BignumFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Cyprus vs. Montenegro: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $2.8KOver $16K
Vikings vs. Packers
opposite sides · consensus Packers
——Vikings $303Packers $15K
Will Cyprus win on 2026-11-15?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $7.7KYes $85
Latvia vs. Armenia: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $3.8KOver $1.5K
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
——Spurs $182Jazz $4.9K
Metz: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Adrien Gobat
opposite sides · consensus Adrien Gobat
——Adrien Gobat $810Buvaysar Gadamauri $1.6K
France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KOver $297
Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu
opposite sides · consensus Michael Vrbensky
——Michael Vrbensky $1.8KVadym Ursu $74
Will GFA Rumilly Vallières vs. AS Saint-Étienne end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $108No $15
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Nexus (BO3) - CCT Europe Group Stage
opposite sides · consensus Nexus
——FORZE Reload $4Nexus $19
Latvia vs. Armenia: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $4.2KUnder $52K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
——Seahawks $620Seahawks $19K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
——Falcons $165Falcons $15K
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
——Mertens/Zhang $1.2KMertens/Zhang $9.3K
Will Armenia win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
——No $8.4KNo $1.2K
Spread: France (-2.5)
same side · consensus Türkiye
——France $154France $5.0K
Croatia vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $583Under $4.1K
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
——76ers $48976ers $3.2K
Helsinki: John Sperle vs Moez Echargui
same side · consensus Moez Echargui
——Moez Echargui $300Moez Echargui $2.6K
Will GFA Rumilly Vallières win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $2.4KYes $44
Will AS Saint-Étienne win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.3KNo $194
Orleans: Otto Virtanen vs Nishesh Basavareddy
same side · consensus Otto Virtanen
——Otto Virtanen $392Otto Virtanen $904
Dota 2: Froglings vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
same side · consensus Froglings
——LEGION $9LEGION $1.1K
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
same side · consensus Suns
——Suns $213Suns $793
Belarus vs. Albania: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $20Under $972
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
——Mavericks $159Mavericks $555
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)
same side · consensus Czechia
——Croatia $193Croatia $429
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $209Yes $42