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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
mbmbbbmbvFlaznorpRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)44% (7–9, n=16)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL-$35K$4.1M$14.9M$3.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #875PM monthly #16PM monthly #32 + pinnedPM monthly #48
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position77% (92 of 120 open)56% (35 of 62 open)75% (6 of 8 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won54% of 13 at avg 57¢, ROI +14%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 0% of 1)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 50% of 2)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢62% (won 50% of 8)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up15% (won 100% of 2)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

27 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketmbmbbbmbvFlaznorpRN1S-Works
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7K—
Will Club León FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $6.4KYes $5—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $1.7KKings $2.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859Over $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.4KOver $136—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446Under $1.4K—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873Yes $315—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471No $524—
Penguins vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Ducks
—Penguins $14Ducks $966—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60—
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $500Bucks $199—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272No $11—
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $262Over $11—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $6Over $29—
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
—Bilibili Gaming $273—Bilibili Gaming $386K
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
—Coco Gauff $17KCoco Gauff $58K—
Pelicans vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Pelicans
—Pelicans $3.3K—Pelicans $52K
Celtics vs. Bucks
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $14KCeltics $33K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $15KNo $612—
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
—Patrick Zahraj $5.9KPatrick Zahraj $5.8K—
Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $7.6KYes $2.5K—
Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Moquegua: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $4.7KOver $1.0K—
Will CD Moquegua win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.8KNo $7—
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $2.3KCeltics $1.3K—
Spread: Celtics (-30.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
—Bucks $3.3KBucks $112—
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $1.9KCeltics $1.5K—
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.1KOver $799—
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.6KUnder $499—
Spread: Mavericks (-11.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Mavericks $1.2KMavericks $626—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $306Celtics $1.2K—
Spread: Mavericks (-10.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Mavericks $757Mavericks $578—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95Under $1.1K—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173Yes $240—
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Kaylan Bigun
same side · consensus Giles Hussey
—Giles Hussey $370Giles Hussey $24—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $177Under $41—
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
—No $4No $26—