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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x72d15794cef9DD3171442A1CDa3084EB58e85a60-1779887246239FlaznorpgoogleplayHomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)no settled market74% (1430–496, n=1926)50% (6–6, n=12)53% (306–267, n=573)
Consensus PnL$0$298K$423K$304K
Tracked asPM monthly #973PM monthly #19PM monthly #18PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position68% (150 of 222 open)no open consensus position69% (104 of 151 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—College Basketball −3 pts, n=123——
Settled positions, side won—48% of 490 at avg 48¢, ROI 0%100% of 6 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%100% of 164 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%
Entries under 30¢—32% (won 5% of 159)0%1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—24% (won 43% of 119)17% (won 100% of 1)30% (won 100% of 49)
Entries 50–70¢—14% (won 61% of 70)83% (won 100% of 5)62% (won 100% of 101)
Entries 70¢ and up—29% (won 95% of 142)0%8% (won 100% of 13)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

23 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x72d15794cef9DD3171442A1CDa3084EB58e85a60-1779887246239FlaznorpgoogleplayHomeRunHazard
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $10—Over $7.0K
Spread: West Virginia Mountaineers (-27.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mercer Bears
—West Virginia Mountaineers $94—Mercer Bears $1.1K
Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-25.5)
opposite sides · consensus Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
—Indiana Hoosiers $77—Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles $516
Spread: Texas A&M Aggies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma State Cowboys
—Oklahoma State Cowboys $127—Texas A&M Aggies $342
Morgan State Bears vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 162.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $5—Under $375
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. Rhode Island Rams: O/U 141.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $4—Under $272
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Mavericks $231—Timberwolves $6
Loyola Marymount Lions vs. South Alabama Jaguars
opposite sides · consensus Loyola Marymount Lions
—Loyola Marymount Lions $3—South Alabama Jaguars $197
Spread: Sacred Heart Pioneers (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Connecticut State Blue Devils
—Central Connecticut State Blue Devils $76—Sacred Heart Pioneers $61
Spread: UTEP Miners (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus UTEP Miners
—New Mexico State Aggies $67—UTEP Miners $51
Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $61—Over $3
Bradley Braves vs. Coppin State Eagles: O/U 135.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $21—Under $24
Spread: Quinnipiac Bobcats (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Quinnipiac Bobcats
—Quinnipiac Bobcats $20—Monmouth Hawks $10
Spread: Rhode Island Rams (-24.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rhode Island Rams
—Rhode Island Rams $4—Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks $15
Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $86—Over $25K
Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $177—Under $8.9K
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Mavericks $216—Mavericks $6.7K
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $6—Vikings $6.5K
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Texas A&M Aggies: O/U 178.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $48—Under $3.0K
Pistons vs. Wizards
same side · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $268—Pistons $2.4K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $542—Seahawks $1.5K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $169—Falcons $1.2K
Spread: High Point Panthers (-23.5)
same side · consensus High Point Panthers
—High Point Panthers $445—High Point Panthers $898
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49—Colts $1.1K
Morgan State Bears vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 161.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2—Under $561
Spread: Bradley Braves (-10.5)
same side · consensus Bradley Braves
—Bradley Braves $142—Bradley Braves $367
Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-24.5)
same side · consensus Indiana Hoosiers
—Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles $132—Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles $289
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $158—Timberwolves $237
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—Raptors $367—Raptors $9
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—Raptors $198—Raptors $145
Spread: Suns (-5.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $51—Hornets $275
Spread: 76ers (-12.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
—76ers $2—76ers $122
Spread: South Alabama Jaguars (-1.5)
same side · consensus South Alabama Jaguars
—South Alabama Jaguars $60—South Alabama Jaguars $35
Bakersfield Roadrunners vs. Western Illinois Leathernecks
same side · consensus Bakersfield Roadrunners
—Bakersfield Roadrunners $15—Bakersfield Roadrunners $37
Spread: Alabama A&M Bulldogs (-7.5)
same side · consensus West Florida Argonauts
—Alabama A&M Bulldogs $47—Alabama A&M Bulldogs $4
Bradley Braves vs. Coppin State Eagles: O/U 133.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $39—Under $6
West Florida Argonauts vs. Alabama A&M Bulldogs
same side · consensus West Florida Argonauts
—West Florida Argonauts $3—West Florida Argonauts $11