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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
keeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99sashasasha5VirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)47% (728–821, n=1549)53% (568–497, n=1065)49% (21–22, n=43)90% (19–2, n=21)
Consensus PnL$718K$613K$15K$531K
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #76PM monthly #935PM monthly #67
Sides with the consensus58% (49 of 85 open)59% (47 of 80 open)0% (0 of 1 open)60% (3 of 5 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +51 pts n=15, ROI +40%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 469 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%75% of 826 at avg 53¢, ROI +13%100% of 29 at avg 59¢, ROI +43%100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 100% of 23)13% (won 41% of 104)7% (won 100% of 2)13% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 100% of 161)25% (won 70% of 203)34% (won 100% of 10)40% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢52% (won 100% of 243)45% (won 78% of 370)28% (won 100% of 8)33% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up9% (won 100% of 42)18% (won 97% of 149)31% (won 100% of 9)13% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99sashasasha5VirIntrepidus
Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks
Oregon Ducks $19KPepperdine Waves $155K——
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—49ers $95K—Cowboys $204
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Mavericks $1.0KCeltics $39K——
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 213.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $194Over $29K——
Oilers vs. Flyers
opposite sides · consensus Oilers
Flyers $11KOilers $15K——
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Knicks $8.7KRaptors $12K——
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $2.4KOver $6.5K——
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $6.8KOver $692——
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $3.8KUnder $3.2K——
Spread: 49ers (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—49ers $1.4K—Cowboys $5.4K
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $6.1KUnder $211——
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
Raiders $56Seahawks $4.0K——
Spread: 49ers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
49ers $40Cowboys $1.8K——
Spread: Rams (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Cardinals $299Rams $9——
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 215.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $56Over $177——
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $52K——Seahawks $46K
49ers vs. Cowboys: O/U 56.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $38KOver $3.2K——
Hornets vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Clippers
Hornets $34KHornets $424——
Steelers vs. Bengals
same side · consensus Bengals
Steelers $19KSteelers $317——
Rockets vs. Wizards
same side · consensus Rockets
Rockets $17KRockets $72——
Lakers vs. Suns
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $12KLakers $548——
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
Clippers $2.7KClippers $5.0K——
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $5.4KJazz $64——
Rams vs. Cardinals: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $4.8KUnder $284——
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
same side · consensus Team Spirit
Team Spirit $1.2KTeam Spirit $1.1K——
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $857Under $1.1K——
Spread: Rams (-9.5)
same side · consensus Rams
Cardinals $42Cardinals $1.8K——
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $506Under $647——
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $11Under $776——
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $13Under $472——
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $6Under $294——
Washington Huskies vs. Utah Utes
same side · consensus Utah Utes
Utah Utes $19Utah Utes $153——