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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| juliuscheesar | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | VirIntrepidus | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 86% (18–3, n=21) | 47% (728–821, n=1549) | 53% (568–497, n=1065) | 90% (19–2, n=21) |
| Consensus PnL | $16K | $718K | $613K | $531K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #970 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #76 | PM monthly #67 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 58% (49 of 85 open) | 59% (47 of 80 open) | 60% (3 of 5 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 27 at avg 78¢, ROI −9% | 100% of 469 at avg 52¢, ROI +45% | 75% of 826 at avg 53¢, ROI +13% | 100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 5% (won 100% of 23) | 13% (won 41% of 104) | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 34% (won 100% of 161) | 25% (won 70% of 203) | 40% (won 100% of 6) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 22% (won 100% of 6) | 52% (won 100% of 243) | 45% (won 78% of 370) | 33% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 70% (won 100% of 19) | 9% (won 100% of 42) | 18% (won 97% of 149) | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
17 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | juliuscheesar | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | VirIntrepidus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs same side · consensus Team Spirit | Team Spirit $52 | Team Spirit $1.2K | Team Spirit $1.1K | — |
| Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks | — | Oregon Ducks $19K | Pepperdine Waves $155K | — |
| 49ers vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus 49ers | — | — | 49ers $95K | Cowboys $204 |
| Spread: Celtics (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | Mavericks $1.0K | Celtics $39K | — |
| Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 213.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $194 | Over $29K | — |
| Oilers vs. Flyers opposite sides · consensus Oilers | — | Flyers $11K | Oilers $15K | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | — | Knicks $8.7K | Raptors $12K | — |
| Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $2.4K | Over $6.5K | — |
| Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $6.8K | Over $692 | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $3.8K | Under $3.2K | — |
| Spread: 49ers (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | — | 49ers $1.4K | Cowboys $5.4K |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $6.1K | Under $211 | — |
| Spread: Seahawks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $56 | Seahawks $4.5K | — |
| Spread: 49ers (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | 49ers $40 | Cowboys $1.8K | — |
| Spread: Rams (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $299 | Rams $9 | — |
| Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 215.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $56 | Over $177 | — |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders same side · consensus Seahawks | — | Seahawks $52K | — | Seahawks $46K |
| 49ers vs. Cowboys: O/U 56.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $38K | Over $3.2K | — |
| Hornets vs. Clippers same side · consensus Clippers | — | Hornets $34K | Hornets $380 | — |
| Steelers vs. Bengals same side · consensus Bengals | — | Steelers $19K | Steelers $317 | — |
| Rockets vs. Wizards same side · consensus Rockets | — | Rockets $17K | Rockets $72 | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns same side · consensus Lakers | — | Lakers $12K | Lakers $561 | — |
| Spread: Clippers (-1.5) same side · consensus Hornets | — | Clippers $2.7K | Clippers $5.0K | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-16.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $5.4K | Jazz $64 | — |
| Rams vs. Cardinals: O/U 38.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $4.8K | Under $284 | — |
| Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $857 | Under $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Rams (-9.5) same side · consensus Rams | — | Cardinals $42 | Cardinals $1.8K | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $506 | Under $647 | — |
| Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $11 | Under $776 | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $13 | Under $472 | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $6 | Under $294 | — |
| Washington Huskies vs. Utah Utes same side · consensus Utah Utes | — | Utah Utes $19 | Utah Utes $153 | — |