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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677MadridTimeRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)45% (10–12, n=22)49% (951–992, n=1943)48% (14128–15613, n=29741)50% (20929–20600, n=41529)
Consensus PnL$5.3M$12K$14.8M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #598PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #7
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position49% (70 of 143 open)65% (31 of 48 open)70% (32 of 46 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +48 pts n=71, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=369, ROI +27%
  • Tennis +21 pts n=32, ROI +21%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 501 at avg 72¢, ROI +30%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 100% of 26)10% (won 57% of 2538)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)17% (won 100% of 85)22% (won 94% of 5565)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)19% (won 100% of 94)36% (won 99% of 9017)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)59% (won 100% of 296)33% (won 100% of 8250)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677MadridTimeRN1UpTheBlues
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche
opposite sides · consensus Luca Van Assche
—Luca Van Assche $24KLorenzo Musetti $35K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $22K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $586Yes $5.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.3KUnder $1.3K
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Ryan Nijboer
opposite sides · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
—Ryan Nijboer $114Juan Bautista Torres $3.3K—
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $25Over $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $7No $2.7K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $120Under $2.3K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $36Under $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $758Yes $130
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $176No $270
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $345
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $61No $172
CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $8—Yes $157
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $28Under $12
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $20Over $5
Rolex Paris Masters: Nuno Borges vs Ignacio Buse
same side · consensus Nuno Borges
—Nuno Borges $17KNuno Borges $8.8K—
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $4.2KNo $5.0K—
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.9KOver $1.9K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.5KNo $3.1K
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $174No $4.3K—
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
same side · consensus Dalibor Svrcina
—Dalibor Svrcina $649Dalibor Svrcina $2.0K—
Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $122No $2.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $945
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $12No $2.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.3KUnder $64
Cali: Carole Monnet vs Leyre Romero Gormaz
same side · consensus Carole Monnet
—Carole Monnet $3Carole Monnet $1.2K—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $42Under $791
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
same side · consensus Renata Zarazua
—Renata Zarazua $45Renata Zarazua $765—
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $6Over $686—