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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026ndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)43% (11439–14898, n=26337)64% (1097–630, n=1727)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL$3.1M$4.8M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #93PM monthly #37 + pinned
Sides with the consensus48% (47 of 98 open)74% (111 of 151 open)66% (103 of 156 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won—64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢—19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢—23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up—44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

30 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026ndb1RN1
Athletic Club vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $97—Under $4.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.2K—Over $1.7K
Everton FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $3.4K—Under $82
Swansea City AFC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $19—Under $3.2K
Manchester City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1—Under $2.9K
Frosinone Calcio vs. Venezia FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2.5K—Under $13
Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Al Faisaly Saudi Club
Al Ittihad Saudi Club $1.6K—Al Faisaly Saudi Club $241
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $94—Under $1.2K
Santos FC vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $50—Under $961
Watford FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $952—Under $10
Will Bristol City FC vs. Lincoln City FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $8—Yes $626
Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $556—Under $2
Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $66—Under $443
Athletic Club vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $430—Under $2
Rhode Island vs. Temple
opposite sides · consensus Temple
Rhode Island $32—Temple $282
Spread: Hull City AFC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Aston Villa FC
Hull City AFC $265—Aston Villa FC $14
Swansea City AFC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $31—Under $232
Watford FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $182—Under $47
Crystal Palace FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $109—Under $120
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $163—Yes $26
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $165—Under $20
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $148—Under $7
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-09-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $96—No $32
SD Eibar vs. Granada CF: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2—Under $16
VfL Osnabrück vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2—Under $9
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $44—Bianca Andreescu $8.3K
Will Virtus Entella win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
No $249—No $5.6K
Will Millwall FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $629—No $2.9K
Will Swansea City AFC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $45—No $3.3K
Titans vs. Bengals: O/U 54.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $21—Under $2.4K
Birmingham City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $138—Under $2.1K
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Falcons
Falcons $159—Falcons $1.6K
Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $434—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $360
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $9—Under $1.6K
Frosinone Calcio vs. Venezia FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $988—Under $136
Hertha BSC vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $79—Under $664
Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-09-05?
same side · consensus No
No $85—No $618
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Abha Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $272—Over $408
Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. AC Horsens: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $84—Under $568
AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $56—Under $567
Crystal Palace FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $179—Over $259
Cardiff City FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $207—Over $68
Spread: Hertha BSC (-1.5)
same side · consensus 1. FC Magdeburg
Hertha BSC $175—Hertha BSC $18
Spread: Benevento Calcio (-1.5)
same side · consensus Hellas Verona FC
Hellas Verona FC $148—Hellas Verona FC $4
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $4—Over $109
West Ham United FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $62—Over $31
VfL Osnabrück vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $44—Under $25
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $23—Over $31
Will Dijon Football Côte d'Or win on 2026-09-11?
same side · consensus No
No $33—No $16