Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
Athletic Club vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5
Resolved Under. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Under 71%
1 arb excluded
$7.7K
$7.0K
Smart Money Signal
10 of 18 top traders (56%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 RN1 | Underavg 64.5¢ | $4.9K | $5.7K | +$6.6K | 53% 63014-55227 (118241) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Overavg 30¢ | $3.2K | $1.3K | -$723.46 | 51% 27272-25818 (53090) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 30¢ | $1.8K | — | -$960.78 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 81¢ | $1.0K | $1.3K | +$237.31 | |
 GordinhoDoAlfa | Underavg 97.2¢ | $635.93 | $515.46 | +$500.41 | 60% 1818-1216 (3034) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Overavg 24.1¢ | $636.71 | — | -$289.06 | 48% 63191-68207 (131398) |
FE ferrariChampions2026CTR | Overavg 33¢ | $112.59 | — | -$112.59 | 42% 8192-11384 (19576) |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | Underavg 80.8¢ | $2.5K | $135.42 | +$80.04 | 56% 8738-6795 (15533) |
PA Pan9X | Underavg 38.1¢ | $111.98 | $61.9 | +$131.04 | 54% 10485-8797 (19282) |
PA pauleta23<$100 | Underavg 92.3¢ | $10.04 | $10.88 | +$0.84 | 65% 24597-12971 (37568) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Overavg 5.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 59994-58808 (118802) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Overavg 11¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 29172-29037 (58209) |
OM omnibus-076daa<$100 | Underavg 81.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 21821-22062 (43883) |
SM Smallcoins<$100 | Underavg 90.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 1213-1085 (2298) |
US User7429CTR<$100 | Overavg 44.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 9429-7491 (16920) |
MI MinevaJCTR<$100 | Overavg 31.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 1161-902 (2063) |
SY Syrrok | Underavg 97.2¢ | $2.0K | — | +$56.86 | 61% 1870-1190 (3060) |
US user921123<$100 | Underavg 86.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 60% 1031-695 (1726) |
LR lryyyCTR<$100 | Overavg 32¢ | — | — | +$0 | 47% 9585-10702 (20287) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Overavg 37.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 77627-59916 (137543) |
BE betfairzices<$100 | Underavg 93.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 75% 310-105 (415) |
RN1Invested
$4,850.31
Value
$5.7K
PnL
+$6.6K
Record
53%
63014-55227 (118241)
Invested
$3,227.99
Value
$1.3K
PnL
-$723.46
Record
51%
27272-25818 (53090)
Both legs:
GordinhoDoAlfaInvested
$635.93
Value
$515.46
PnL
+$500.41
Record
60%
1818-1216 (3034)
Invested
$636.71
Value
—
PnL
-$289.06
Record
48%
63191-68207 (131398)
Invested
$112.59
Value
—
PnL
-$112.59
Record
42%
8192-11384 (19576)
Invested
$2,460.79
Value
$135.42
PnL
+$80.04
Record
56%
8738-6795 (15533)
Invested
$111.98
Value
$61.9
PnL
+$131.04
Record
54%
10485-8797 (19282)
Invested
$10.04
Value
$10.88
PnL
+$0.84
Record
65%
24597-12971 (37568)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
59994-58808 (118802)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
29172-29037 (58209)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
21821-22062 (43883)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
1213-1085 (2298)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
9429-7491 (16920)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
1161-902 (2063)
Invested
$2,004.99
Value
—
PnL
+$56.86
Record
61%
1870-1190 (3060)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
60%
1031-695 (1726)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
47%
9585-10702 (20287)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
77627-59916 (137543)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
75%
310-105 (415)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
RN1
Under — $5.7K
Flaznorp
ARBArbitrage — excluded
GordinhoDoAlfa
Under — $515.46
38791873984189
CTROver — $0
ferrariChampions2026
CTROver — $0
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872
Under — $135.42
Pan9X
Under — $61.9
pauleta23
Under — $10.88
cigarettes
CTROver — $0
GoalLineGhost
CTROver — $0