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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026ndb1RN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)43% (11439–14898, n=26337)64% (1097–630, n=1727)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)75% (2546–856, n=3402)
Consensus PnL$3.1M$4.8M$14.8M$3.7M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #91PM monthly #35 + pinnedPM monthly #71
Sides with the consensus62% (13 of 21 open)72% (107 of 149 open)67% (30 of 45 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=147—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won—64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢—19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢—23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up—44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026ndb1RN1S-Works
Fresno State vs. Utah State
opposite sides · consensus Utah State
Fresno State $789—Utah State $13K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.2K—Over $1.7K—
Wyoming vs. UNLV: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $847—Over $1.6K—
Fresno State vs. Utah State: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.5K—Under $27—
Spread: Liberty (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Liberty
New Mexico State $384—Liberty $18—
Wyoming vs. UNLV
same side · consensus Wyoming
Wyoming $23K—Wyoming $9.8K—
Spread: Hawai'i (-6.5)
same side · consensus Hawai'i
UTEP $3.2K—UTEP $8.4K—
Texas State vs. Oregon State
same side · consensus Oregon State
Oregon State $550—Oregon State $4.2K—
Spread: Texas Tech (-15.5)
same side · consensus Texas Tech
Texas Tech $2.8K—Texas Tech $477—
Titans vs. Bengals: O/U 54.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $21—Under $2.4K—
Spread: Texas Tech (-17.5)
same side · consensus Texas Tech
Texas Tech $136—Texas Tech $2.1K—
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Falcons
Falcons $159—Falcons $1.6K—
Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $434—Under $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $360—
Spread: Texas Tech (-16.5)
same side · consensus Texas Tech
Texas Tech $604—Texas Tech $736—