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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.

AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5

Resolved Over. 47% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

17

Under 80%

Total Value

$36.32

Combined PnL

$6.2K

Smart Money Signal

Under

8 of 17 top traders (47%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Over100%

Under0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Under8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares30,015

Combined PnL+$6.2K

Over9 traders

Total Value$36.32

Total Shares36

Combined PnL+$8.93

Under — 47%Over — 53%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
FL FlaznorpCTR	Underavg 27.7¢	$14.4K	—	$-4.7K	51% 27272-25818 (53090)
RN1CTR	Underavg 31.7¢	$12.0K	—	+$10.8K	53% 63014-55227 (118241)
FE ferrariChampions2026CTR	Underavg 44.4¢	$116.37	—	-$116.37	42% 8192-11384 (19576)
PA Pan9X	Overavg 68¢	$186.72	$36.32	+$8.93	54% 10485-8797 (19282)
38 38791873984189CTR	Underavg 32.6¢	$1.2K	—	+$203.29	48% 63191-68207 (131398)
balthazar<$100	Overavg 69.1¢	—	—	+$0	34% 33217-64988 (98205)
CI cigarettesCTR<$100	Underavg 28¢	—	—	+$0	50% 59994-58808 (118802)
GO GoalLineGhost<$100	Overavg 79.8¢	—	—	+$0	50% 29172-29037 (58209)
JhonAlexanderHinestroza<$100	Overavg 78.8¢	—	—	+$0	55% 1215-984 (2199)
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100	Underavg 44.8¢	—	—	+$0	50% 21821-22062 (43883)
NM NM-PCTR<$100	Underavg 21¢	—	—	+$0	64% 10183-5729 (15912)
WA WagerWizard<$100	Overavg 92.8¢	—	—	+$0	84% 15082-2932 (18014)
nigiri99<$100	Overavg 80.8¢	—	—	+$0	46% 8770-10464 (19234)
VA Vampiro1<$100	Overavg 73¢	—	—	+$0	77% 3951-1186 (5137)
LR lryyy<$100	Overavg 83¢	—	—	+$0	47% 9585-10702 (20287)
MR MrBently<$100	Overavg 66¢	—	—	+$0	52% 617-559 (1176)
KN KnightDasCapitalCTR<$100	Underavg 22¢	—	—	+$0	51% 7317-7098 (14415)

Invested

$14,413.6

Value

—

PnL

$-4.7K

Record

51%

27272-25818 (53090)

Invested

$12,005.46

Value

—

PnL

+$10.8K

Record

53%

63014-55227 (118241)

ferrariChampions2026CTR

Invested

$116.37

Value

—

PnL

-$116.37

Record

42%

8192-11384 (19576)

Invested

$186.72

Value

$36.32

PnL

+$8.93

Record

54%

10485-8797 (19282)

38791873984189CTR

Invested

$1,193.94

Value

—

PnL

+$203.29

Record

48%

63191-68207 (131398)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

34%

33217-64988 (98205)

cigarettesCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

59994-58808 (118802)

GoalLineGhost<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

29172-29037 (58209)

JhonAlexanderHinestroza<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

55%

1215-984 (2199)

omnibus-076daaCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

21821-22062 (43883)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

64%

10183-5729 (15912)

WagerWizard<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

84%

15082-2932 (18014)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

46%

8770-10464 (19234)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

77%

3951-1186 (5137)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

47%

9585-10702 (20287)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

52%

617-559 (1176)

KnightDasCapitalCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

7317-7098 (14415)

Smart Money Signal

Under

8 of 17 top traders (47%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x34ed40a3...e7c119

Slug

sea-rom-ata-2026-09-05-total-1pt5

Traders in this Market

Flaznorp

Under — $0

RN1

Under — $0

ferrariChampions2026

Under — $0

Pan9X

Over — $36.32

38791873984189

Under — $0

balthazar

Over — $0

cigarettes

Under — $0

GoalLineGhost

Over — $0

JhonAlexanderHinestroza

Over — $0

omnibus-076daa

Under — $0

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