Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Abha Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
Resolved Under. 25% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Under 25%
1 arb excluded
$750.23
-$445.76
Smart Money Signal
2 of 8 top traders (25%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UP UpTheBlues | Underavg 85.3¢ | $497.13 | $575.02 | +$77.89 | 58% 52330-38533 (90863) |
 RN1CTR | Overavg 15.3¢ | $246.51 | — | -$243.18 | 53% 63014-55227 (118241) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Underavg 80.5¢ | $259.89 | $175.21 | +$90.54 | 51% 27272-25818 (53090) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 9.8¢ | $101.62 | — | +$56.38 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 80.5¢ | $141.06 | $175.21 | +$34.15 | |
FE ferrariChampions2026CTR | Overavg 16.3¢ | $177.48 | — | -$177.48 | 42% 8192-11384 (19576) |
MA MartyMcFoxCTR<$100 | Overavg 26.8¢ | $53.61 | — | -$102.99 | 62% 4779-2872 (7651) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Overavg 13.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 29172-29037 (58209) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Overavg 15.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 15008-15929 (30937) |
VA Vampiro1CTR<$100 | Overavg 24.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 77% 3951-1186 (5137) |
LR lryyy<$100 | Underavg 70.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 47% 9585-10702 (20287) |
Invested
$497.13
Value
$575.02
PnL
+$77.89
Record
58%
52330-38533 (90863)
RN1CTRInvested
$246.51
Value
—
PnL
-$243.18
Record
53%
63014-55227 (118241)
Invested
$259.89
Value
$175.21
PnL
+$90.54
Record
51%
27272-25818 (53090)
Both legs:
Invested
$177.48
Value
—
PnL
-$177.48
Record
42%
8192-11384 (19576)
Invested
$53.61
Value
—
PnL
-$102.99
Record
62%
4779-2872 (7651)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
29172-29037 (58209)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
15008-15929 (30937)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
77%
3951-1186 (5137)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
47%
9585-10702 (20287)