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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.

Birmingham City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5

Resolved Over. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Under 100%

Total Value

$0

Combined PnL

$-1.5K

Smart Money Signal

Under

8 of 11 top traders (73%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Over100%

Under0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Under8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares4,653

Combined PnL$-1.7K

Over3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares0

Combined PnL+$147.8

Under — 73%Over — 27%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
RN1CTR	Underavg 61.9¢	$2.5K	—	-$961.18	53% 63014-55227 (118241)
FL FlaznorpCTR	Underavg 56.2¢	$672.95	—	-$348.4	51% 27272-25818 (53090)
38 38791873984189CTR	Underavg 56.6¢	$658.88	—	-$144.74	48% 63191-68207 (131398)
FE ferrariChampions2026CTR	Underavg 57.8¢	$112.94	—	-$112.94	42% 8192-11384 (19576)
PA Pan9XCTR	Underavg 58.3¢	$125.81	—	-$93.16	54% 10485-8797 (19282)
CI cigarettesCTR<$100	Underavg 1¢	—	—	+$0	50% 59994-58808 (118802)
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100	Underavg 59.2¢	—	—	+$0	50% 21821-22062 (43883)
AR ARocky33<$100	Overavg 59.7¢	—	—	+$0	76% 4579-1422 (6001)
WA WagerWizard<$100	Overavg 98.4¢	—	—	+$0	84% 15082-2932 (18014)
TO torta.tech	Overavg 44.2¢	$117.2	—	+$147.8	57% 8827-6769 (15596)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100	Underavg 72¢	—	—	+$0	58% 47904-34520 (82424)

Invested

$2,535.18

Value

—

PnL

-$961.18

Record

53%

63014-55227 (118241)

Invested

$672.95

Value

—

PnL

-$348.4

Record

51%

27272-25818 (53090)

38791873984189CTR

Invested

$658.88

Value

—

PnL

-$144.74

Record

48%

63191-68207 (131398)

ferrariChampions2026CTR

Invested

$112.94

Value

—

PnL

-$112.94

Record

42%

8192-11384 (19576)

Invested

$125.81

Value

—

PnL

-$93.16

Record

54%

10485-8797 (19282)

cigarettesCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

59994-58808 (118802)

omnibus-076daaCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

21821-22062 (43883)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

76%

4579-1422 (6001)

WagerWizard<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

84%

15082-2932 (18014)

Invested

$117.2

Value

—

PnL

+$147.8

Record

57%

8827-6769 (15596)

VeryLucky888CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

58%

47904-34520 (82424)

Smart Money Signal

Under

8 of 11 top traders (73%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x72abf552...6b0c72

Slug

elc-bir-wol-2026-09-06-total-3pt5

Traders in this Market

RN1

Under — $0

Flaznorp

Under — $0

38791873984189

Under — $0

ferrariChampions2026

Under — $0

Pan9X

Under — $0

cigarettes

Under — $0

omnibus-076daa

Under — $0

ARocky33

Over — $0

WagerWizard

Over — $0

torta.tech

Over — $0

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