Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Over — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over
Watford FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 1.5
Resolved Over. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Over 50%
1 arb excluded
$1.2K
$695.62
Smart Money Signal
7 of 9 top traders (78%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FE ferrariChampions2026 | Overavg 75.9¢ | $788.4 | $1.0K | +$217.59 | 42% 8192-11384 (19576) |
UP UpTheBluesARB<$100 | Underavg 30.9¢ | $428.39 | $115.32 | -$313.06 | 58% 52330-38533 (90863) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 76.3¢ | $87.95 | $115.32 | +$27.38 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 30.9¢ | $340.44 | — | -$340.44 | |
PA Pan9X<$100 | Overavg 61¢ | $18.3 | $30 | +$11.7 | 54% 10485-8797 (19282) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Underavg 27.4¢ | $335.32 | — | -$52.38 | 51% 27272-25818 (53090) |
 RN1CTR | Underavg 19.8¢ | $879.57 | — | +$449.46 | 53% 63014-55227 (118241) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Overavg 71.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 29172-29037 (58209) |
LU LuckyLoo<$100 | Overavg 82¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 15008-15929 (30937) |
WA WagerWizard<$100 | Overavg 97.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 84% 15082-2932 (18014) |
38 38791873984189 | Overavg 61¢ | $106.75 | — | +$68.25 | 48% 63191-68207 (131398) |
LA LaarsY<$100 | Overavg 64¢ | $1.78 | — | +$1 | 51% 3557-3462 (7019) |
Invested
$788.4
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$217.59
Record
42%
8192-11384 (19576)
Invested
$428.39
Value
$115.32
PnL
-$313.06
Record
58%
52330-38533 (90863)
Both legs:
Invested
$18.3
Value
$30
PnL
+$11.7
Record
54%
10485-8797 (19282)
Invested
$335.32
Value
—
PnL
-$52.38
Record
51%
27272-25818 (53090)
RN1CTRInvested
$879.57
Value
—
PnL
+$449.46
Record
53%
63014-55227 (118241)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
29172-29037 (58209)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
15008-15929 (30937)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
84%
15082-2932 (18014)
Invested
$106.75
Value
—
PnL
+$68.25
Record
48%
63191-68207 (131398)
Invested
$1.78
Value
—
PnL
+$1
Record
51%
3557-3462 (7019)