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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026ndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)44% (11377–14474, n=25851)63% (1095–631, n=1726)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$7.7M-$8.8M$4.8M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2was PM monthly #87PM monthly #118PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus81% (34 of 42 open)66% (51 of 77 open)71% (70 of 98 open)51% (74 of 144 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)—13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)—19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)—23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)—44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026ndb1RN1
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $35K—Under $2.3K
Bengals vs. Falcons: O/U 52.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $17K—Under $11K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
opposite sides · consensus Juan Manuel Cerundolo
—Juan Manuel Cerundolo $19K—Elias Ymer $210
Bengals vs. Falcons: O/U 60.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $2.4K—Under $12K
Le Havre AC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7.5K—Over $78
Bengals vs. Falcons: O/U 58.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $21—Over $6.8K
Bengals vs. Falcons: O/U 54.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $38—Under $3.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Over $1.7K
Spread: Bengals (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Falcons
—Falcons $203—Bengals $2.5K
Spread: Bengals (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
—Falcons $27—Bengals $2.6K
Spread: Bengals (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
—Bengals $259—Falcons $1.5K
Viking FK vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $789—Under $378
Bengals vs. Falcons: O/U 56.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $25—Over $766
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $455—76ers $121
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $319—Under $238
Celtic FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $509—Over $1
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $213—Under $143
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $41Yes $97
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $421K—No $346K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $306K—Yes $12K—
Knoxville: Emile Hudd vs Justin Boulais
same side · consensus Justin Boulais
—Justin Boulais $2.6K—Justin Boulais $38K
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $22KColts $14K——
Orleans: Luka Pavlovic vs Hugo Grenier
same side · consensus Hugo Grenier
—Hugo Grenier $2.0K—Hugo Grenier $25K
Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)
same side · consensus Viking FK
—KFUM-Kameratene Oslo $18K—KFUM-Kameratene Oslo $1.1K
Le Mans FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $18K—Under $565
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Giants $3.1KGiants $9.2K——
Bengals vs. Falcons: O/U 62.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.1K—Under $10K
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.6K—Over $334
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Over $360
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.6K—Under $19
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $766—Over $272
Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)
same side · consensus Sønderjyske Fodbold
—Sønderjyske Fodbold $880—Sønderjyske Fodbold $17
Spread: Bengals (-5.5)
same side · consensus Falcons
—Falcons $209—Falcons $120
Spread: PSV (-1.5)
same side · consensus PSV
—SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden $29—SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden $6
Lima: Santiago De la Fuente vs Ignacio Monzon
same side · consensus Santiago De la Fuente
—Ignacio Monzon $7—Ignacio Monzon $1