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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4FlaznorpRN1xxNyx
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (7690–6979, n=14669)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)86% (1782–293, n=2075)
Consensus PnL—$4.1M$14.8M$88K
Tracked as—PM monthly #9PM monthly #28 + pinnedHand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position71% (113 of 160 open)55% (53 of 97 open)92% (55 of 60 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—Tech −1 pts, n=56
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%81% of 1891 at avg 79¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)13% (won 9% of 251)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)5% (won 52% of 91)
Entries 50–70¢—15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)6% (won 57% of 109)
Entries 70¢ and up—40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)76% (won 97% of 1440)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

36 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4FlaznorpRN1xxNyx
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7K—
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens
—Racing Club de Lens $7.8KOlympique de Marseille $1—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859Over $3.0K—
Exact Score: ACF Fiorentina 1 - 1 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $141No $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
—Club Atlético de Madrid $2.8KFC Barcelona $113—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446Under $1.4K—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873Yes $315—
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 1 FC Barcelona?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $886Yes $254—
Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand
opposite sides · consensus Yanis Ghazouani Durand
—Calvin Hemery $973Yanis Ghazouani Durand $100—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471No $524—
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $875Under $27—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60—
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $376Over $169—
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 0 FC Barcelona?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $320Yes $99—
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $78Over $340—
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—76ers $173Bulls $106—
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $74KNo $24K—
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $32KNo $17K—
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $23KNo $3.9K—
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $16KNo $3.4K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
—Club Atlético de Madrid $13KClub Atlético de Madrid $3.6K—
Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5)
same side · consensus CF Universidad de Chile
—CD Cobresal $13KCD Cobresal $3.5K—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $11KYes $5.1K—
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)
same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
—Club Atlético de Madrid $12KClub Atlético de Madrid $139—
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $9.7KNo $1.1K—
ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $5.0KOver $5.0K—
Charlottesville: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo
same side · consensus Aidan Mayo
—Stefan Kozlov $6.5KStefan Kozlov $3.2K—
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.8KNo $5.8K—
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 3 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
—No $214No $9.1K—
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus FC Barcelona
—FC Barcelona $8.4KFC Barcelona $11—
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)
same side · consensus FC Barcelona
—FC Barcelona $3.6KFC Barcelona $3.2K—
Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.1KNo $709—
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 2 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
—No $219No $4.5K—
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $543—Yes $3.0K
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
—Camilo Ugo Carabelli $1.7KCamilo Ugo Carabelli $968—
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.2KUnder $468—
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 0 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
—No $820No $1.6K—
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
—Bulls $1.6KBulls $62—
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
—76ers $76476ers $848—
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.4KUnder $129—
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Club Atlético de Madrid O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $110Under $716—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $747Boluspor $44—
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
—76ers $58776ers $155—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20—
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $344Bulls $42—
ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—No $306No $13—