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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
HomeRunHazardnigiri99robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18VirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)54% (424–365, n=789)55% (372–304, n=676)63% (48–28, n=76)33% (1–2, n=3)
Consensus PnL$376K$436K$1.0M-$5.0K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #89PM monthly #15 + pinnedPM monthly #463
Sides with the consensus69% (79 of 115 open)51% (37 of 73 open)60% (6 of 10 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
  • NBA +45 pts n=29, ROI +40%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%100% of 39 at avg 57¢, ROI +38%—
Entries under 30¢1% (won 100% of 2)14% (won 33% of 73)3% (won 100% of 1)—
Entries 30–50¢32% (won 100% of 62)24% (won 56% of 125)33% (won 100% of 13)—
Entries 50–70¢59% (won 100% of 115)43% (won 69% of 226)44% (won 100% of 17)—
Entries 70¢ and up8% (won 100% of 15)18% (won 98% of 96)21% (won 100% of 8)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketHomeRunHazardnigiri99robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18VirIntrepidus
Nuggets vs. Pelicans
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
Pelicans $445Pelicans $93—Nuggets $630
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
—Spirit $398MOUZ $118K—
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
—Bilibili Gaming $1.1KGen.G $95K—
Spread: Houston (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
Colorado $3.5KHouston $3.0K——
Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $4.4KUnder $1.1K——
Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.2KUnder $2.4K——
Spread: James Madison (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus UConn
UConn $2.1KJames Madison $1.3K——
Spread: Alabama (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt
Alabama $1.5KVanderbilt $983——
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
Indiana $2.5KUSC $2——
Spread: Houston (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
Colorado $938Houston $547——
Spread: Auburn (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Auburn
Mississippi State $393Auburn $373——
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
Cavaliers $250Mavericks $89——
Alabama vs. Vanderbilt
opposite sides · consensus Alabama
Alabama $62Vanderbilt $13——
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks
same side · consensus Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
—Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $333KLouisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $209K—
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
same side · consensus Team Falcons
—Team Falcons $985Team Falcons $135K—
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
—Gen.G $241Gen.G $43K—
Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $12KOver $1.5K——
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)
same side · consensus Indiana
Indiana $6.4KIndiana $911——
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Texans
Browns $2.3KBrowns $1.2K——
Spread: Kennesaw State (-7.5)
same side · consensus Sam Houston
Kennesaw State $2.2KKennesaw State $1.3K——
Houston vs. Colorado
same side · consensus Colorado
Colorado $257Colorado $2.5K——
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.5KUnder $202——
Spread: Alabama (-16.5)
same side · consensus Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt $2.1KVanderbilt $542——
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Titans
Jaguars $1.1KJaguars $1.3K——
Sharks vs. Utah: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.7KUnder $5——
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $1.1KHeat $46——
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $1.1KColts $3——
Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 59.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $6Over $861——
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
same side · consensus South Carolina
South Carolina $265South Carolina $546——
Spread: Houston (-8.5)
same side · consensus Houston
Houston $483Houston $164——
Spread: BYU (-7.5)
same side · consensus Baylor
BYU $291BYU $348——
Spread: Tennessee (-2.5)
same side · consensus Texas A&M
Texas A&M $23Texas A&M $524——
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
same side · consensus Hurricanes
Kraken $46Kraken $57——