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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | plsgodsaveme | VirIntrepidus | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (594–553, n=1147) | 47% (705–782, n=1487) | 33% (2–4, n=6) | 90% (18–2, n=20) |
| Consensus PnL | $398K | $825K | -$1.5K | $530K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #15 | was PM monthly #684 | PM monthly #44 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (72 of 103 open) | 62% (54 of 87 open) | no open consensus position | 60% (3 of 5 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45% | 80% of 5 at avg 40¢, ROI +21% | 100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 100% of 6) | 5% (won 100% of 23) | 20% (won 0% of 1) | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 32% (won 100% of 100) | 34% (won 100% of 159) | 60% (won 100% of 3) | 40% (won 100% of 6) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 189) | 52% (won 100% of 243) | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 33% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 22) | 9% (won 100% of 42) | 0% | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
18 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | plsgodsaveme | VirIntrepidus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49ers vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus 49ers | 49ers $25K | 49ers $183K | — | Cowboys $283 |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders same side · consensus Seahawks | Seahawks $20K | Seahawks $43K | — | Seahawks $58K |
| Panthers vs. Stars opposite sides · consensus Stars | Stars $490 | Panthers $25K | — | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Spurs $9.3K | Jazz $9.9K | — | — |
| Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 233.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $8.7K | Over $8.0K | — | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $12K | Over $3.9K | — | — |
| Spread: Hornets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | Hornets $2.4K | Clippers $10K | — | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Wizards | Rockets $273 | Wizards $8.0K | — | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns opposite sides · consensus Suns | Suns $2.0K | Lakers $5.7K | — | — |
| Spread: 49ers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus 49ers | 49ers $7.2K | — | — | Cowboys $239 |
| Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 217.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $3.6K | Under $2.6K | — | — |
| Spread: Clippers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | Hornets $482 | Clippers $2.6K | — | — |
| Spread: Rams (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Rams $1.6K | Cardinals $302 | — | — |
| Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 216.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $861 | Under $577 | — | — |
| Missouri Tigers vs. Marquette Golden Eagles opposite sides · consensus Marquette Golden Eagles | Marquette Golden Eagles $57 | Missouri Tigers $1.1K | — | — |
| High Point Panthers vs. Saint Louis Billikens opposite sides · consensus High Point Panthers | High Point Panthers $309 | Saint Louis Billikens $543 | — | — |
| Baylor Bears vs. Texas Longhorns opposite sides · consensus Texas Longhorns | Baylor Bears $2 | Texas Longhorns $4 | — | — |
| Spurs vs. Jazz same side · consensus Spurs | Spurs $18K | Spurs $36K | — | — |
| Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks same side · consensus Oregon Ducks | Oregon Ducks $7.4K | Oregon Ducks $19K | — | — |
| Hornets vs. Clippers same side · consensus Hornets | Hornets $6.1K | Hornets $17K | — | — |
| Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $7.2K | Under $4.7K | — | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-2.5) same side · consensus Suns | Suns $4.1K | Suns $6.0K | — | — |
| Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $2.8K | Under $6.6K | — | — |
| Spread: 49ers (-4.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $3.3K | — | Cowboys $5.8K |
| Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $5.3K | Under $841 | — | — |
| Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) same side · consensus Seahawks | Seahawks $300 | — | — | Seahawks $4.2K |
| Spread: Thunder (-10.5) same side · consensus Thunder | Thunder $53 | Thunder $4.1K | — | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $3.0K | Over $652 | — | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-7.5) same side · consensus Hawks | Hawks $532 | Hawks $2.0K | — | — |
| Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-4.5) same side · consensus Creighton Bluejays | Creighton Bluejays $344 | Creighton Bluejays $1.9K | — | — |
| Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $716 | Under $132 | — | — |
| Spread: Rams (-6.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | Cardinals $6 | Cardinals $677 | — | — |
| Spread: Marquette Golden Eagles (-1.5) same side · consensus Marquette Golden Eagles | Marquette Golden Eagles $4 | Marquette Golden Eagles $162 | — | — |
| Spread: Rams (-9.5) same side · consensus Rams | Cardinals $5 | Cardinals $36 | — | — |