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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | PuckaBegemota | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (448–384, n=832) | 48% (503–539, n=1042) | 55% (392–321, n=713) | 77% (10–3, n=13) |
| Consensus PnL | $332K | $462K | $426K | $25K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #104 | PM monthly #836 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (90 of 132 open) | 61% (20 of 33 open) | 43% (29 of 67 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 212 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 329 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% | 69% of 567 at avg 53¢, ROI +6% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 2) | 6% (won 100% of 19) | 14% (won 37% of 79) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 32% (won 100% of 68) | 36% (won 100% of 120) | 24% (won 59% of 138) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 127) | 50% (won 100% of 166) | 43% (won 72% of 243) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 15) | 7% (won 100% of 24) | 19% (won 98% of 107) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
19 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | PuckaBegemota |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kraken vs. Hurricanes opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes | Kraken $41 | Hurricanes $34K | Kraken $51 | — |
| Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.5K | Over $3.4K | Under $200 | — |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs opposite sides · consensus FURIA | — | FURIA $10K | Team Falcons $609 | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $4.4K | — | Under $1.1K | — |
| Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2.2K | — | Under $2.4K | — |
| Spread: James Madison (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus UConn | UConn $2.1K | — | James Madison $1.3K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $3.1K | — | Nets $13 | — |
| Spread: Indiana (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Indiana | Indiana $2.5K | — | USC $2 | — |
| Spread: Alabama (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt | Alabama $1.5K | — | Vanderbilt $983 | — |
| Spread: Ohio State (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Ohio State | Ohio State $450 | — | Northwestern $2.0K | — |
| Spread: Kentucky (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Florida | Florida $19 | Kentucky $1.2K | — | — |
| Spread: Auburn (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Auburn | Mississippi State $392 | — | Auburn $370 | — |
| Alabama vs. Vanderbilt opposite sides · consensus Alabama | Alabama $63 | — | Vanderbilt $13 | — |
| Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $12K | — | Over $1.5K | — |
| Spread: Lightning (-1.5) same side · consensus Red Wings | Lightning $783 | Lightning $10K | — | — |
| Spread: Indiana (-7.5) same side · consensus Indiana | Indiana $6.4K | — | Indiana $911 | — |
| Spread: Kennesaw State (-7.5) same side · consensus Kennesaw State | Kennesaw State $2.8K | — | Kennesaw State $1.3K | — |
| Spread: Texans (-3.5) same side · consensus Texans | Browns $2.3K | — | Browns $1.1K | — |
| Spread: James Madison (-5.5) same side · consensus UConn | UConn $2.5K | UConn $622 | — | — |
| Spread: Alabama (-16.5) same side · consensus Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt $2.1K | — | Vanderbilt $542 | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Titans | Jaguars $1.1K | — | Jaguars $1.3K | — |
| Texas vs. LSU same side · consensus LSU | LSU $205 | LSU $1.8K | — | — |
| Sharks vs. Utah: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.7K | — | Under $5 | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $156 | Pistons $1.4K | — | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat same side · consensus Heat | Heat $1.1K | — | Heat $47 | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | Colts $1.1K | — | Colts $3 | — |
| Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 59.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $6 | — | Over $870 | — |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas same side · consensus Arkansas | South Carolina $263 | — | South Carolina $542 | — |
| Spread: BYU (-7.5) same side · consensus Baylor | BYU $297 | — | BYU $355 | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans same side · consensus Nuggets | Pelicans $459 | — | Pelicans $96 | — |
| Spread: Tennessee (-2.5) same side · consensus Texas A&M | Texas A&M $23 | — | Texas A&M $524 | — |
| Duke vs. Miami (FL) same side · consensus Miami (FL) | Miami (FL) $48 | Miami (FL) $145 | — | — |