← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | Lunarcorona | nigiri99 | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (424–365, n=789) | no settled market | 55% (372–304, n=676) | 63% (48–28, n=76) |
| Consensus PnL | $376K | — | $436K | $1.0M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #899 | PM monthly #89 | PM monthly #15 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (79 of 115 open) | no open consensus position | 51% (37 of 73 open) | 60% (6 of 10 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% | — | 66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5% | 100% of 39 at avg 57¢, ROI +38% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 2) | — | 14% (won 33% of 73) | 3% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 32% (won 100% of 62) | — | 24% (won 56% of 125) | 33% (won 100% of 13) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 59% (won 100% of 115) | — | 43% (won 69% of 226) | 44% (won 100% of 17) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 8% (won 100% of 15) | — | 18% (won 98% of 96) | 21% (won 100% of 8) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
21 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | Lunarcorona | nigiri99 | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs opposite sides · consensus MOUZ | — | — | Spirit $398 | MOUZ $118K |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs opposite sides · consensus Gen.G | — | — | Bilibili Gaming $1.1K | Gen.G $95K |
| Spread: Houston (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Houston | Colorado $3.5K | — | Houston $3.0K | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $4.4K | — | Under $1.1K | — |
| Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2.2K | — | Under $2.4K | — |
| Spread: James Madison (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus UConn | UConn $2.1K | — | James Madison $1.3K | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $2.4K | — | Mavericks $89 | — |
| Spread: Alabama (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt | Alabama $1.5K | — | Vanderbilt $983 | — |
| Spread: Indiana (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Indiana | Indiana $2.5K | — | USC $2 | — |
| Spread: Houston (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Houston | Colorado $938 | — | Houston $547 | — |
| Spread: Auburn (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Auburn | Mississippi State $393 | — | Auburn $373 | — |
| Alabama vs. Vanderbilt opposite sides · consensus Alabama | Alabama $62 | — | Vanderbilt $13 | — |
| Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks same side · consensus Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | — | — | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $333K | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $209K |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs same side · consensus Team Falcons | — | — | Team Falcons $985 | Team Falcons $135K |
| Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5) same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | — | — | Gen.G $241 | Gen.G $43K |
| Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $12K | — | Over $1.5K | — |
| Spread: Indiana (-7.5) same side · consensus Indiana | Indiana $6.4K | — | Indiana $911 | — |
| Spread: Texans (-3.5) same side · consensus Texans | Browns $2.3K | — | Browns $1.2K | — |
| Spread: Kennesaw State (-7.5) same side · consensus Sam Houston | Kennesaw State $2.2K | — | Kennesaw State $1.3K | — |
| Houston vs. Colorado same side · consensus Colorado | Colorado $257 | — | Colorado $2.5K | — |
| Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $2.5K | — | Under $202 | — |
| Spread: Alabama (-16.5) same side · consensus Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt $2.1K | — | Vanderbilt $542 | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Titans | Jaguars $1.1K | — | Jaguars $1.3K | — |
| Sharks vs. Utah: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.7K | — | Under $5 | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat same side · consensus Heat | Heat $1.1K | — | Heat $46 | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | Colts $1.1K | — | Colts $3 | — |
| Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 59.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $6 | — | Over $861 | — |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas same side · consensus South Carolina | South Carolina $265 | — | South Carolina $546 | — |
| Spread: Houston (-8.5) same side · consensus Houston | Houston $483 | — | Houston $164 | — |
| Spread: BYU (-7.5) same side · consensus Baylor | BYU $291 | — | BYU $348 | — |
| Spread: Tennessee (-2.5) same side · consensus Texas A&M | Texas A&M $23 | — | Texas A&M $524 | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans same side · consensus Nuggets | Pelicans $445 | — | Pelicans $93 | — |
| Kraken vs. Hurricanes same side · consensus Hurricanes | Kraken $46 | — | Kraken $57 | — |